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FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Projections – February 9, 2015

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The following daily fantasy basketball projections are created using a method similar to Basketball Reference’s Simple Projection System. I have a quick walkthrough of my process here. If you have any questions, please feel to ask here, via email (jengl867 AT gmail DOT com) or on Twitter (@JoshEngleman).

Quick note: when it comes to the Best Plays/Best Values, these are all of the guys that currently are in my shortlist for tonight. I’m literally listing everyone that I will potentially roster. If they aren’t listed in those two places, then I won’t be rostering them. Obviously this changes as more news comes about injuries, but this is truly how it looks right now for me.

If you are trying to up your DFS game, I highly recommend checking out Fantasy Cruncher. It really is an amazing tool. It provides a great blueprint, plus it helps keep you organized.

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If you are looking to sign-up at FanDuel, please do so through this link.

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***Updated at 12:45 PM. Added Dwyane Wade, removed Jason Smith***

 ***Updated at 3:05 PM. Added DeMarre Carroll, Dante Cunningham, Alexis Ajinca and Omer Asik. Removed Ryan Anderson, Anthony Davis, Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green*** 

 

Point Guards

Name Pos Salary MPG FD FD/$1k 5X% 6X%
Russell Westbrook PG $11200 36.0 41.2 3.7 8.9% 0.9%
Stephen Curry PG $10100 29.3 32.7 3.2 2.1% 0.1%
Chris Paul PG $9400 36.7 42.0 4.5 28.9% 5.4%
John Wall PG $9000 35.2 36.4 4.0 14.4% 1.5%
Michael Carter-Williams PG $8700 29.8 32.0 3.7 8.7% 0.8%
Ty Lawson PG $8400 34.4 32.2 3.8 9.7% 0.8%
Brandon Knight PG $8000 35.8 30.9 3.9 13.2% 1.8%
Jeff Teague PG $7700 31.8 28.5 3.7 12.7% 2.2%
Jarrett Jack PG $7300 38.2 28.1 3.8 17.3% 3.9%
Ricky Rubio PG $6500 27.2 25.0 3.8 12.6% 1.6%
Elfrid Payton PG $5700 32.3 25.5 4.5 35.1% 13.5%
Mo Williams PG $5700 22.3 17.2 3.0 3.4% 0.3%
Trey Burke PG $5700 30.7 22.5 4.0 17.4% 3.3%
Deron Williams PG $5600 28.1 24.5 4.4 30.5% 9.0%
Tony Parker PG $5400 29.2 25.3 4.7 41.2% 18.0%
George Hill PG $5300 27.1 20.1 3.8 20.5% 6.7%
Langston Galloway PG $5300 32.8 23.3 4.4 33.1% 12.1%
Mario Chalmers PG $4900 26.8 17.6 3.6 12.1% 2.3%
Jose Calderon PG $4700 28.8 19.4 4.1 25.0% 7.4%
Jose Juan Barea PG $4700 29.0 24.0 5.1 52.4% 30.8%
Devin Harris PG $4600 26.9 21.3 4.6 42.1% 22.5%
C.J. Watson PG $4500 23.7 17.0 3.8 19.2% 5.7%
Jerryd Bayless PG $4200 20.5 15.7 3.7 16.6% 4.1%
Norris Cole PG $3700 21.8 12.3 3.3 10.4% 2.2%
Shabazz Napier PG $3600 20.8 13.4 3.7 15.4% 3.5%
Dante Exum PG $3500 34.0 19.7 5.6 59.9% 44.3%

As per usual, PG is absolutely loaded. I like Chris Paul the most of the top shelf bunch, but John Wall is super close. Brandon Knight has been really good lately and is someone that might slip through the cracks. If you need to spend a little less here, you can either flip a coin on the Dallas PGs (I prefer Harris) or punt with Exum.

Best Plays (>=$5000): Russell Westbrook, Stephen Curry, Chris Paul, John Wall, Brandon Knight, Jeff Teague, George Hill, Langston Galloway

Avoid: Michael Carter-Williams, Mo Williams

Best Value (<$5000): Jose Barea, Devin Harris, Dante Exum

 

Shooting Guards

Name Pos Salary MPG FD FD/$1k 5X% 6X%
Tyreke Evans SG $8300 38.1 35.5 4.3 26.5% 6.7%
Monta Ellis SG $7900 36.6 32.7 4.1 21.4% 4.3%
Klay Thompson SG $7800 29.4 24.3 3.1 3.0% 0.2%
Dwyane Wade SG $7700 32.8 31.1 4.0 16.0% 2.1%
Victor Oladipo SG $6900 34.8 28.4 4.1 20.9% 4.3%
Giannis Antetokounmpo SG $6600 34.7 27.7 4.2 25.5% 7.0%
Kevin Martin SG $6500 35.8 27.3 4.2 29.2% 11.0%
Eric Gordon SG $6000 35.5 27.6 4.6 38.8% 15.7%
Joe Johnson SG $6000 37.0 26.4 4.4 35.3% 15.5%
Danny Green SG $5800 24.0 17.1 2.9 3.4% 0.3%
Brad Beal SG $5800 37.6 29.6 5.1 53.1% 25.1%
Arron Afflalo SG $5500 29.5 21.1 3.8 19.2% 5.3%
Manu Ginobili SG $5300 23.1 20.6 3.9 21.4% 6.5%
Kyle Korver SG $5100 34.0 22.2 4.4 33.1% 13.2%
O.J. Mayo SG $5100 25.1 18.8 3.7 17.0% 4.7%
Jamal Crawford SG $5000 35.1 28.6 5.7 66.4% 43.5%
Tim Hardaway Jr. SG $4900 22.2 13.5 2.8 2.4% 0.2%
Dion Waiters SG $4900 25.8 19.3 3.9 24.3% 8.9%
Rodney Stuckey SG $4700 26.6 20.4 4.3 34.1% 15.3%
Kent Bazemore SG $4100 25.8 18.2 4.4 38.6% 20.8%
Alan Anderson SG $3800 24.7 13.9 3.7 22.2% 9.1%
Austin Rivers SG $3700 26.0 17.6 4.8 44.8% 25.3%
Elijah Millsap SG $3600 33.6 23.5 6.5 76.2% 59.6%

Tyreke Evans seems primed for a big game. My numbers don’t show it, but I think Klay Thompson looks great, even with the potential for a blowout. If he plays, Bradley Beal looks like he’s incredibly under-priced. For value, Elijah Millsap is probably the best of the bunch, just due to the amount of minutes he should play.

Best Plays (>=$5000): Tyreke Evans, Monta Ellis, Dwyane Wade, Klay Thompson, Victor Oladipo, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kevin Martin, Joe Johnson, Eric Gordon, Bradley Beal, Kyle Korver, Jamal Crawford

Avoid: Danny Green

Best Value (<$5000): Kent Bazemore, Austin Rivers, Elijah Millsap

 

Small Forwards

Name Pos Salary MPG FD FD/$1k 5X% 6X%
Kevin Durant SF $10700 36.9 41.0 3.8 9.4% 0.7%
Carmelo Anthony SF $9400 35.6 33.8 3.6 3.2% 0.1%
Kawhi Leonard SF $8200 35.7 30.4 3.7 11.4% 1.6%
Gordon Hayward SF $8200 37.2 29.7 3.6 8.4% 0.9%
Draymond Green SF $7300 28.8 25.9 3.5 10.4% 1.7%
Andrew Wiggins SF $6600 36.9 27.5 4.2 25.7% 7.6%
Robert Covington SF $6500 28.5 27.0 4.2 27.1% 9.2%
Chandler Parsons SF $6400 35.1 27.2 4.3 28.9% 9.6%
Khris Middleton SF $6400 33.2 24.9 3.9 19.3% 5.0%
Tobias Harris SF $6100 39.2 33.0 5.4 60.6% 34.5%
Luol Deng SF $5900 34.2 24.5 4.2 24.4% 6.4%
Wilson Chandler SF $5800 28.1 21.9 3.8 14.5% 2.7%
C.J. Miles SF $5000 28.2 21.9 4.4 35.8% 16.8%
DeMarre Carroll SF $4900 33.0 22.9 4.7 41.5% 18.9%
Paul Pierce SF $4700 25.5 22.2 4.7 42.8% 19.9%
Luc Richard Mbah a Moute SF $4700 26.8 18.9 4.0 27.2% 11.0%
Jared Dudley SF $4700 23.8 15.4 3.3 10.8% 2.6%
Al-Farouq Aminu SF $4600 25.9 20.2 4.4 36.9% 18.5%
Matt Barnes SF $4600 33.1 23.6 5.1 53.2% 29.1%
Harrison Barnes SF $4500 24.9 17.3 3.8 16.3% 3.4%
Hollis Thompson SF $4400 27.8 18.4 4.2 31.3% 14.0%
Andre Iguodala SF $4300 24.5 19.4 4.5 35.5% 13.0%
K.J. McDaniels SF $4200 21.2 17.4 4.1 24.4% 6.7%
Danilo Gallinari SF $3800 24.3 19.8 5.2 54.4% 32.9%
Solomon Hill SF $3800 23.2 14.9 3.9 26.9% 11.8%
Quincy Pondexter SF $3600 30.8 17.9 5.0 49.3% 29.8%
Bojan Bogdanovic SF $3500 23.4 13.5 3.9 27.2% 12.8%
Lance Thomas SF $3500 24.6 14.1 4.0 29.4% 13.7%

I just don’t trust Kevin Durant at this price. He’s in play at DraftKings, though. I think Draymond Green is the safest play of the bunch, although you can save $1200 and drop down to Tobias Harris and feel pretty good. In the huge group of sub-$5k guys, I like Matt Barnes the most, although Gallinari has the biggest upside relative to price.

Best Plays (>=$5000): Carmelo Anthony, Kawhi Leonard, Gordon Hayward, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins, Robert Covington, Khris Middleton, Chandler Parsons, Tobias Harris, C.J. Miles

Avoid:

Best Value (<$5000): DeMarre Carroll, Al-Farouq Aminu, Matt Barnes, Harrison Barnes, Hollis Thompson, Danilo Gallinari, Quincy Pondexter

 

Power Forwards

Name Pos Salary MPG FD FD/$1k 5X% 6X%
Paul Millsap PF $8000 34.2 34.1 4.3 24.5% 5.2%
Tim Duncan PF $7900 28.9 30.6 3.9 8.6% 0.5%
Chris Bosh PF $7700 34.8 29.3 3.8 12.4% 1.7%
Derrick Favors PF $7400 32.7 30.3 4.1 21.1% 4.5%
Serge Ibaka PF $7200 35.7 31.5 4.4 31.3% 10.4%
Thaddeus Young PF $6800 36.3 31.2 4.6 36.9% 12.8%
David West PF $6600 30.6 28.0 4.2 24.6% 5.6%
Dirk Nowitzki PF $6300 30.5 30.2 4.8 43.1% 15.2%
Kenneth Faried PF $6300 30.2 29.7 4.7 41.7% 17.5%
Nerlens Noel PF $6100 28.6 26.5 4.3 30.2% 9.4%
David Lee PF $5700 22.4 22.3 3.9 14.6% 2.2%
Nene Hilario PF $5200 27.2 24.3 4.7 41.3% 18.2%
John Henson PF $5100 21.2 20.4 4.0 23.4% 7.2%
Jason Smith PF $4900 26.2 18.4 3.7 18.6% 5.4%
Marreese Speights PF $4700 20.2 20.2 4.3 32.8% 14.1%
Kris Humphries PF $4700 23.5 20.9 4.5 36.0% 15.5%
Dante Cunningham PF $4100 33.2 22.8 5.5 62.0% 40.2%
Luis Scola PF $3800 20.6 18.3 4.8 46.0% 24.9%
Channing Frye PF $3600 21.3 14.7 4.1 22.3% 5.6%

It’s Anthony Davis here, and it’s not particularly close. I’m not particularly fond of any value plays, so the most likely scenario for me is either Derrick Favors or David West.

Best Plays (>=$5000): Anthony Davis, Chris Bosh, Derrick Favors, David West, Ryan Anderson

Avoid: Tim Duncan

Best Value (<$5000): Jason Smith, Dante Cunningham

 

Centers

Name Pos Salary MPG FD FD/$1k 5X% 6X%
Nikola Vucevic C $8900 34.3 33.9 3.8 11.0% 1.2%
Al Horford C $8400 33.0 32.5 3.9 13.7% 1.9%
DeAndre Jordan C $8300 36.4 33.1 4.0 19.8% 4.5%
Hassan Whiteside C $8000 29.3 30.8 3.9 21.6% 7.0%
Tyson Chandler C $7000 32.3 27.9 4.0 19.7% 4.5%
Gorgui Dieng C $6700 21.1 19.5 2.9 1.5% 0.1%
Brook Lopez C $6700 32.8 31.5 4.7 42.3% 19.8%
Enes Kanter C $6100 29.7 24.8 4.1 22.6% 5.9%
Roy Hibbert C $6100 31.5 28.6 4.7 42.8% 22.5%
Rudy Gobert C $5900 22.5 20.8 3.5 14.4% 3.7%
Mason Plumlee C $5800 24.7 21.6 3.7 16.2% 4.0%
Nikola Pekovic C $5800 26.9 23.9 4.1 22.9% 5.6%
Marcin Gortat C $5300 28.7 25.5 4.8 44.2% 18.4%
Jusuf Nurkic C $5000 21.4 23.0 4.6 38.5% 15.1%
Omer Asik C $4700 33.7 27.6 5.9 69.1% 47.1%
Alexis Ajinca C $4200 32.8 29.9 7.1 75.8% 64.4%
Kendrick Perkins C $3600 24.6 15.2 4.2 34.2% 17.6%
Spencer Hawes C $3500 35.4 32.0 9.2 90.7% 84.2%

If Hassan Whiteside is a go, I love him here. If not, I’ll either grab Brook Lopez/Roy Hibbert. If I need to totally punt, Spencer Hawes is a no-brainer.

Best Plays (>=$5000): Al Horford, Hassan Whiteside, Tyson Chandler, Brook Lopez, Roy Hibbert, Enes Kanter, Marcin Gortat, Jusuf Nurkic

Avoid: Gorgui Dieng

Best Value (<$5000): Omer Asik, Alexis Ajinca, Kendrick Perkins, Spencer Hawes

 

All Players

Name Pos Salary MPG FD FD/$1k 5X% 6X%
Russell Westbrook PG $11200 36.0 41.2 3.7 8.9% 0.9%
Kevin Durant SF $10700 36.9 41.0 3.8 9.4% 0.7%
Stephen Curry PG $10100 29.3 32.7 3.2 2.1% 0.1%
Chris Paul PG $9400 36.7 42.0 4.5 28.9% 5.4%
Carmelo Anthony SF $9400 35.6 33.8 3.6 3.2% 0.1%
John Wall PG $9000 35.2 36.4 4.0 14.4% 1.5%
Nikola Vucevic C $8900 34.3 33.9 3.8 11.0% 1.2%
Michael Carter-Williams PG $8700 29.8 32.0 3.7 8.7% 0.8%
Al Horford C $8400 33.0 32.5 3.9 13.7% 1.9%
Ty Lawson PG $8400 34.4 32.2 3.8 9.7% 0.8%
DeAndre Jordan C $8300 36.4 33.1 4.0 19.8% 4.5%
Tyreke Evans SG $8300 38.1 35.5 4.3 26.5% 6.7%
Gordon Hayward SF $8200 37.2 29.7 3.6 8.4% 0.9%
Kawhi Leonard SF $8200 35.7 30.4 3.7 11.4% 1.6%
Brandon Knight PG $8000 35.8 30.9 3.9 13.2% 1.8%
Paul Millsap PF $8000 34.2 34.1 4.3 24.5% 5.2%
Hassan Whiteside C $8000 29.3 30.8 3.9 21.6% 7.0%
Monta Ellis SG $7900 36.6 32.7 4.1 21.4% 4.3%
Tim Duncan PF $7900 28.9 30.6 3.9 8.6% 0.5%
Klay Thompson SG $7800 29.4 24.3 3.1 3.0% 0.2%
Jeff Teague PG $7700 31.8 28.5 3.7 12.7% 2.2%
Dwyane Wade SG $7700 32.8 31.1 4.0 16.0% 2.1%
Chris Bosh PF $7700 34.8 29.3 3.8 12.4% 1.7%
Derrick Favors PF $7400 32.7 30.3 4.1 21.1% 4.5%
Jarrett Jack PG $7300 38.2 28.1 3.8 17.3% 3.9%
Draymond Green SF $7300 28.8 25.9 3.5 10.4% 1.7%
Serge Ibaka PF $7200 35.7 31.5 4.4 31.3% 10.4%
Tyson Chandler C $7000 32.3 27.9 4.0 19.7% 4.5%
Victor Oladipo SG $6900 34.8 28.4 4.1 20.9% 4.3%
Thaddeus Young PF $6800 36.3 31.2 4.6 36.9% 12.8%
Gorgui Dieng C $6700 21.1 19.5 2.9 1.5% 0.1%
Brook Lopez C $6700 32.8 31.5 4.7 42.3% 19.8%
David West PF $6600 30.6 28.0 4.2 24.6% 5.6%
Giannis Antetokounmpo SG $6600 34.7 27.7 4.2 25.5% 7.0%
Andrew Wiggins SF $6600 36.9 27.5 4.2 25.7% 7.6%
Robert Covington SF $6500 28.5 27.0 4.2 27.1% 9.2%
Kevin Martin SG $6500 35.8 27.3 4.2 29.2% 11.0%
Ricky Rubio PG $6500 27.2 25.0 3.8 12.6% 1.6%
Khris Middleton SF $6400 33.2 24.9 3.9 19.3% 5.0%
Chandler Parsons SF $6400 35.1 27.2 4.3 28.9% 9.6%
Kenneth Faried PF $6300 30.2 29.7 4.7 41.7% 17.5%
Dirk Nowitzki PF $6300 30.5 30.2 4.8 43.1% 15.2%
Enes Kanter C $6100 29.7 24.8 4.1 22.6% 5.9%
Nerlens Noel PF $6100 28.6 26.5 4.3 30.2% 9.4%
Roy Hibbert C $6100 31.5 28.6 4.7 42.8% 22.5%
Tobias Harris SF $6100 39.2 33.0 5.4 60.6% 34.5%
Joe Johnson SG $6000 37.0 26.4 4.4 35.3% 15.5%
Eric Gordon SG $6000 35.5 27.6 4.6 38.8% 15.7%
Luol Deng SF $5900 34.2 24.5 4.2 24.4% 6.4%
Rudy Gobert C $5900 22.5 20.8 3.5 14.4% 3.7%
Danny Green SG $5800 24.0 17.1 2.9 3.4% 0.3%
Brad Beal SG $5800 37.6 29.6 5.1 53.1% 25.1%
Wilson Chandler SF $5800 28.1 21.9 3.8 14.5% 2.7%
Nikola Pekovic C $5800 26.9 23.9 4.1 22.9% 5.6%
Mason Plumlee C $5800 24.7 21.6 3.7 16.2% 4.0%
Elfrid Payton PG $5700 32.3 25.5 4.5 35.1% 13.5%
David Lee PF $5700 22.4 22.3 3.9 14.6% 2.2%
Trey Burke PG $5700 30.7 22.5 4.0 17.4% 3.3%
Mo Williams PG $5700 22.3 17.2 3.0 3.4% 0.3%
Deron Williams PG $5600 28.1 24.5 4.4 30.5% 9.0%
Arron Afflalo SG $5500 29.5 21.1 3.8 19.2% 5.3%
Tony Parker PG $5400 29.2 25.3 4.7 41.2% 18.0%
Marcin Gortat C $5300 28.7 25.5 4.8 44.2% 18.4%
Langston Galloway PG $5300 32.8 23.3 4.4 33.1% 12.1%
Manu Ginobili SG $5300 23.1 20.6 3.9 21.4% 6.5%
George Hill PG $5300 27.1 20.1 3.8 20.5% 6.7%
Nene Hilario PF $5200 27.2 24.3 4.7 41.3% 18.2%
Kyle Korver SG $5100 34.0 22.2 4.4 33.1% 13.2%
John Henson PF $5100 21.2 20.4 4.0 23.4% 7.2%
O.J. Mayo SG $5100 25.1 18.8 3.7 17.0% 4.7%
C.J. Miles SF $5000 28.2 21.9 4.4 35.8% 16.8%
Jusuf Nurkic C $5000 21.4 23.0 4.6 38.5% 15.1%
Jamal Crawford SG $5000 35.1 28.6 5.7 66.4% 43.5%
Mario Chalmers PG $4900 26.8 17.6 3.6 12.1% 2.3%
Tim Hardaway Jr. SG $4900 22.2 13.5 2.8 2.4% 0.2%
Dion Waiters SG $4900 25.8 19.3 3.9 24.3% 8.9%
Jason Smith PF $4900 26.2 18.4 3.7 18.6% 5.4%
DeMarre Carroll SF $4900 33.0 22.9 4.7 41.5% 18.9%
Kris Humphries PF $4700 23.5 20.9 4.5 36.0% 15.5%
Marreese Speights PF $4700 20.2 20.2 4.3 32.8% 14.1%
Luc Richard Mbah a Moute SF $4700 26.8 18.9 4.0 27.2% 11.0%
Omer Asik C $4700 33.7 27.6 5.9 69.1% 47.1%
Rodney Stuckey SG $4700 26.6 20.4 4.3 34.1% 15.3%
Jared Dudley SF $4700 23.8 15.4 3.3 10.8% 2.6%
Jose Juan Barea PG $4700 29.0 24.0 5.1 52.4% 30.8%
Jose Calderon PG $4700 28.8 19.4 4.1 25.0% 7.4%
Paul Pierce SF $4700 25.5 22.2 4.7 42.8% 19.9%
Matt Barnes SF $4600 33.1 23.6 5.1 53.2% 29.1%
Al-Farouq Aminu SF $4600 25.9 20.2 4.4 36.9% 18.5%
Devin Harris PG $4600 26.9 21.3 4.6 42.1% 22.5%
Harrison Barnes SF $4500 24.9 17.3 3.8 16.3% 3.4%
C.J. Watson PG $4500 23.7 17.0 3.8 19.2% 5.7%
Hollis Thompson SF $4400 27.8 18.4 4.2 31.3% 14.0%
Andre Iguodala SF $4300 24.5 19.4 4.5 35.5% 13.0%
K.J. McDaniels SF $4200 21.2 17.4 4.1 24.4% 6.7%
Alexis Ajinca C $4200 32.8 29.9 7.1 75.8% 64.4%
Jerryd Bayless PG $4200 20.5 15.7 3.7 16.6% 4.1%
Kent Bazemore SG $4100 25.8 18.2 4.4 38.6% 20.8%
Dante Cunningham PF $4100 33.2 22.8 5.5 62.0% 40.2%
Danilo Gallinari SF $3800 24.3 19.8 5.2 54.4% 32.9%
Alan Anderson SG $3800 24.7 13.9 3.7 22.2% 9.1%
Solomon Hill SF $3800 23.2 14.9 3.9 26.9% 11.8%
Luis Scola PF $3800 20.6 18.3 4.8 46.0% 24.9%
Norris Cole PG $3700 21.8 12.3 3.3 10.4% 2.2%
Austin Rivers SG $3700 26.0 17.6 4.8 44.8% 25.3%
Shabazz Napier PG $3600 20.8 13.4 3.7 15.4% 3.5%
Channing Frye PF $3600 21.3 14.7 4.1 22.3% 5.6%
Kendrick Perkins C $3600 24.6 15.2 4.2 34.2% 17.6%
Elijah Millsap SG $3600 33.6 23.5 6.5 76.2% 59.6%
Quincy Pondexter SF $3600 30.8 17.9 5.0 49.3% 29.8%
Spencer Hawes C $3500 35.4 32.0 9.2 90.7% 84.2%
Dante Exum PG $3500 34.0 19.7 5.6 59.9% 44.3%
Lance Thomas SF $3500 24.6 14.1 4.0 29.4% 13.7%
Bojan Bogdanovic SF $3500 23.4 13.5 3.9 27.2% 12.8%
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