JoshEngleman.com

November 23, 2015 at 8:33 am

DraftKings Daily Fantasy Basketball Projections – November 23, 2015

The following daily fantasy basketball projections are created using a method similar to Basketball Reference’s Simple Projection System. I have a quick walk-through of my process here. If you have any questions, please feel to ask here, via email (jengl867 AT gmail DOT com) or on Twitter (@JoshEngleman).

Quick note: when it comes to the Best Plays/Best Values, these are all of the guys that currently are in my shortlist for tonight. I’m literally listing everyone that I will potentially roster. If they aren’t listed in those two places, then I won’t be rostering them. Obviously this changes as more news comes about injuries, but this is truly how it looks right now for me.

If you are trying to up your DFS game, I highly recommend checking out Fantasy Cruncher. I couldn’t imagine building my lineup without it. The projections are excellent, the exporting capabilities are a life safer, and there are new features being added constantly. I would be shocked if it didn’t make you more profitable.
 
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If you are looking to sign-up at DraftKings, please do so through this link.
 
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Point Guards

Name Pos Salary xMin USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
Russell Westbrook PG $12300 35 38% 49 4.0 14% 1%
Rajon Rondo PG $9000 32 18% 33 3.6 10% 1%
Brandon Knight PG $8200 36 28% 37 4.5 32% 9%
Reggie Jackson PG $7600 33 27% 32 4.2 27% 8%
Ricky Rubio PG $7100 31 20% 32 4.5 39% 10%
Kemba Walker PG $6900 31 28% 33 4.9 42% 12%
Elfrid Payton PG $6200 35 18% 32 5.1 45% 19%
Mo Williams PG $5900 32 24% 29 4.8 53% 25%
Michael Carter-Williams PG $5600 29 25% 29 5.2 45% 18%
Goran Dragic PG $5200 32 18% 26 5.1 42% 15%
TJ McConnell PG $5200 29 16% 27 5.1 30% 6%
Tony Parker PG $4900 28 21% 25 5.2 43% 16%
Darren Collison PG $4800 29 19% 24 5.0 50% 18%
Zach LaVine PG $4700 26 24% 24 5.0 62% 35%
Jerryd Bayless PG $4500 26 17% 20 4.4 26% 6%
Jeremy Lin PG $4500 21 25% 20 4.4 33% 7%
Matthew Dellavedova PG $4500 30 12% 20 4.4 20% 4%
Trey Burke PG $4000 23 24% 20 5.1 57% 24%
Jose Calderon PG $3800 30 14% 22 5.9 59% 32%
Greivis Vasquez PG $3600 18 18% 15 4.2 5% 0%
Patty Mills PG $3500 21 19% 18 5.1 40% 9%
Isaiah Canaan PG $3400 21 23% 18 5.3 58% 32%
Spencer Dinwiddie PG $3000 17 20% 15 4.9 33% 9%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): Brandon Knight, Reggie Jackson, Kemba Walker
Best Value (<$5000): Darren Collison, Zach LaVine, Jose Calderon, Isaiah Canaan
 

Shooting Guards

Name Pos Salary xMin USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
Eric Bledsoe SG $8400 34 27% 37 4.4 33% 7%
Victor Oladipo SG $7000 32 24% 30 4.3 23% 3%
Andrew Wiggins SG $6900 35 25% 30 4.3 35% 11%
Dwyane Wade SG $6800 32 33% 33 4.9 47% 14%
Khris Middleton SG $5400 34 19% 26 4.8 38% 14%
Alec Burks SG $5200 31 23% 26 5.0 62% 21%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope SG $5100 37 19% 25 4.8 45% 19%
Rodney Hood SG $5000 35 19% 28 5.6 68% 41%
JR Smith SG $4800 35 18% 29 6.0 59% 35%
Jeremy Lamb SG $4500 24 21% 22 4.9 59% 29%
Arron Afflalo SG $4400 32 18% 22 4.9 37% 14%
Dion Waiters SG $4400 25 19% 19 4.3 18% 3%
Langston Galloway SG $4300 26 17% 20 4.7 33% 8%
Manu Ginobili SG $4300 22 21% 22 5.2 73% 36%
Danny Green SG $4300 29 15% 23 5.3 53% 27%
Marco Belinelli SG $4300 25 17% 18 4.1 21% 3%
Tyler Johnson SG $4100 20 14% 14 3.4 10% 1%
Kevin Martin SG $3900 24 26% 21 5.3 57% 32%
Nik Stauskas SG $3800 24 16% 16 4.2 28% 7%
Hollis Thompson SG $3600 23 17% 16 4.4 27% 6%
Ben McLemore SG $3600 19 16% 12 3.3 9% 1%
Gerald Green SG $3300 19 25% 15 4.6 39% 12%
Andre Roberson SG $3000 20 8% 12 4.0 8% 1%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): Eric Bledsoe, Andrew Wiggins, Dwyane Wade, Alec Burks, Rodney Hood
Best Value (<$5000): JR Smith, Jeremy Lamb, Danny Green, Kevin Martin
 

Small Forwards

Name Pos Salary xMin USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
LeBron James SF $10100 35 36% 49 4.9 46% 10%
Kevin Durant SF $9800 35 27% 43 4.4 10% 0%
Carmelo Anthony SF $8500 36 34% 42 5.0 39% 7%
Kawhi Leonard SF $8200 34 22% 34 4.2 39% 9%
Nicolas Batum SF $7200 35 17% 31 4.4 38% 10%
Giannis Antetokounmpo SF $7100 35 19% 30 4.2 23% 4%
Rudy Gay SF $7000 33 25% 33 4.7 39% 11%
Evan Fournier SF $6800 38 19% 29 4.2 26% 6%
Tobias Harris SF $6300 35 22% 32 5.1 45% 17%
Marcus Morris SF $6200 36 19% 29 4.6 42% 15%
Gordon Hayward SF $6200 35 26% 34 5.4 58% 27%
Omri Casspi SF $4700 22 17% 17 3.7 14% 2%
Robert Covington SF $4400 28 24% 27 6.1 78% 53%
Jerami Grant SF $4400 30 18% 24 5.4 63% 30%
Luol Deng SF $4200 31 16% 23 5.4 50% 23%
Justise Winslow SF $4000 27 13% 16 4.1 14% 1%
Aaron Gordon SF $4000 16 16% 13 3.4 1% 0%
PJ Tucker SF $3900 27 13% 20 5.0 22% 5%
TJ Warren SF $3800 22 19% 17 4.4 15% 2%
Stanley Johnson SF $3600 18 20% 13 3.7 11% 1%
Richard Jefferson SF $3100 20 14% 12 4.0 12% 2%
Mirza Teletovic SF $3000 19 18% 17 5.6 38% 16%
Shabazz Muhammad SF $3000 19 22% 16 5.4 63% 38%
Tayshaun Prince SF $3000 18 12% 11 3.7 4% 0%
Lance Thomas SF $3000 17 16% 10 3.3 3% 0%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): LeBron James, Carmelo Anthony, Kawhi Leonard, Tobias Harris, Gordon Hayward
Best Value (<$5000): Robert Covington, Jerami Grant
 

Power Forwards

Name Pos Salary xMin USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
DeMarcus Cousins PF $10300 35 35% 50 4.8 47% 12%
Kevin Love PF $8200 34 22% 39 4.8 35% 7%
Chris Bosh PF $7700 35 24% 32 4.2 30% 5%
Derrick Favors PF $7600 32 24% 35 4.6 46% 13%
LaMarcus Aldridge PF $6800 32 28% 37 5.4 46% 15%
Serge Ibaka PF $6700 34 16% 31 4.6 25% 5%
Kristaps Porzingis PF $6700 29 23% 30 4.6 44% 14%
Nerlens Noel PF $6100 31 19% 30 5.0 46% 18%
Marvin Williams PF $5700 33 14% 26 4.5 41% 12%
Tristan Thompson PF $5300 34 11% 28 5.2 60% 30%
Markieff Morris PF $5300 31 25% 30 5.7 65% 32%
Ersan Ilyasova PF $4300 26 21% 23 5.4 58% 28%
Jabari Parker PF $4200 27 18% 21 5.1 46% 15%
Cody Zeller PF $3700 21 16% 18 4.9 50% 15%
Boris Diaw PF $3400 18 16% 14 4.1 16% 2%
Trevor Booker PF $3200 20 16% 16 5.1 48% 21%
Anthony Tolliver PF $3000 19 13% 12 4.0 15% 2%
Adreian Payne PF $3000 17 17% 13 4.3 25% 6%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): DeMarcus Cousins, Kevin Love, Derrick Favors, LaMarcus Aldridge, Kristaps Porzingis, Nerlens Noel, Marvin Williams
Best Value (<$5000): Ersan Ilyasova, Jabari Parker
 

Centers

Name Pos Salary xMin USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
Andre Drummond C $9700 37 23% 44 4.5 32% 7%
Hassan Whiteside C $8400 29 19% 33 3.9 24% 5%
Greg Monroe C $7200 33 23% 35 4.8 49% 14%
Karl-Anthony Towns C $7200 30 23% 33 4.6 55% 15%
Nikola Vucevic C $7000 30 26% 32 4.6 26% 5%
Jahlil Okafor C $6700 32 29% 32 4.8 38% 8%
Rudy Gobert C $6500 34 13% 35 5.3 62% 33%
Al Jefferson C $6400 29 27% 35 5.4 55% 20%
Tim Duncan C $6300 28 19% 32 5.1 41% 10%
Enes Kanter C $5300 22 22% 21 4.0 16% 2%
Tyson Chandler C $4900 24 12% 21 4.3 25% 5%
Robin Lopez C $4200 25 14% 19 4.6 38% 8%
Kosta Koufos C $4000 23 14% 20 5.1 33% 5%
Steven Adams C $3700 25 11% 19 5.1 38% 13%
Gorgui Dieng C $3600 19 15% 18 4.9 58% 26%
Willie Cauley-Stein C $3500 16 11% 13 3.6 7% 0%
Anderson Varejao C $3200 18 16% 17 5.2 40% 13%
Spencer Hawes C $3000 19 17% 18 6.0 64% 29%
Alex Len C $3000 16 15% 13 4.5 34% 8%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): Andre Drummond, Greg Monroe, Karl-Anthony Towns, Rudy Gobert, Al Jefferson, Tim Duncan
Best Value (<$5000):
 

Utility

Name Pos Salary xMin USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
Russell Westbrook PG $12300 35 38% 49 4.0 14% 1%
DeMarcus Cousins PF $10300 35 35% 50 4.8 47% 12%
LeBron James SF $10100 35 36% 49 4.9 46% 10%
Kevin Durant SF $9800 35 27% 43 4.4 10% 0%
Andre Drummond C $9700 37 23% 44 4.5 32% 7%
Rajon Rondo PG $9000 32 18% 33 3.6 10% 1%
Carmelo Anthony SF $8500 36 34% 42 5.0 39% 7%
Eric Bledsoe SG $8400 34 27% 37 4.4 33% 7%
Hassan Whiteside C $8400 29 19% 33 3.9 24% 5%
Brandon Knight PG $8200 36 28% 37 4.5 32% 9%
Kevin Love PF $8200 34 22% 39 4.8 35% 7%
Kawhi Leonard SF $8200 34 22% 34 4.2 39% 9%
Chris Bosh PF $7700 35 24% 32 4.2 30% 5%
Derrick Favors PF $7600 32 24% 35 4.6 46% 13%
Reggie Jackson PG $7600 33 27% 32 4.2 27% 8%
Greg Monroe C $7200 33 23% 35 4.8 49% 14%
Karl-Anthony Towns C $7200 30 23% 33 4.6 55% 15%
Nicolas Batum SF $7200 35 17% 31 4.4 38% 10%
Giannis Antetokounmpo SF $7100 35 19% 30 4.2 23% 4%
Ricky Rubio PG $7100 31 20% 32 4.5 39% 10%
Victor Oladipo SG $7000 32 24% 30 4.3 23% 3%
Rudy Gay SF $7000 33 25% 33 4.7 39% 11%
Nikola Vucevic C $7000 30 26% 32 4.6 26% 5%
Kemba Walker PG $6900 31 28% 33 4.9 42% 12%
Andrew Wiggins SG $6900 35 25% 30 4.3 35% 11%
Evan Fournier SF $6800 38 19% 29 4.2 26% 6%
Dwyane Wade SG $6800 32 33% 33 4.9 47% 14%
LaMarcus Aldridge PF $6800 32 28% 37 5.4 46% 15%
Jahlil Okafor C $6700 32 29% 32 4.8 38% 8%
Kristaps Porzingis PF $6700 29 23% 30 4.6 44% 14%
Serge Ibaka PF $6700 34 16% 31 4.6 25% 5%
Rudy Gobert C $6500 34 13% 35 5.3 62% 33%
Al Jefferson C $6400 29 27% 35 5.4 55% 20%
Tim Duncan C $6300 28 19% 32 5.1 41% 10%
Tobias Harris SF $6300 35 22% 32 5.1 45% 17%
Marcus Morris SF $6200 36 19% 29 4.6 42% 15%
Gordon Hayward SF $6200 35 26% 34 5.4 58% 27%
Elfrid Payton PG $6200 35 18% 32 5.1 45% 19%
Nerlens Noel PF $6100 31 19% 30 5.0 46% 18%
Mo Williams PG $5900 32 24% 29 4.8 53% 25%
Marvin Williams PF $5700 33 14% 26 4.5 41% 12%
Michael Carter-Williams PG $5600 29 25% 29 5.2 45% 18%
Khris Middleton SG $5400 34 19% 26 4.8 38% 14%
Tristan Thompson PF $5300 34 11% 28 5.2 60% 30%
Enes Kanter C $5300 22 22% 21 4.0 16% 2%
Markieff Morris PF $5300 31 25% 30 5.7 65% 32%
Alec Burks SG $5200 31 23% 26 5.0 62% 21%
Goran Dragic PG $5200 32 18% 26 5.1 42% 15%
TJ McConnell PG $5200 29 16% 27 5.1 30% 6%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope SG $5100 37 19% 25 4.8 45% 19%
Rodney Hood SG $5000 35 19% 28 5.6 68% 41%
Tony Parker PG $4900 28 21% 25 5.2 43% 16%
Tyson Chandler C $4900 24 12% 21 4.3 25% 5%
JR Smith SG $4800 35 18% 29 6.0 59% 35%
Darren Collison PG $4800 29 19% 24 5.0 50% 18%
Zach LaVine PG $4700 26 24% 24 5.0 62% 35%
Omri Casspi SF $4700 22 17% 17 3.7 14% 2%
Jeremy Lin PG $4500 21 25% 20 4.4 33% 7%
Jeremy Lamb SG $4500 24 21% 22 4.9 59% 29%
Matthew Dellavedova PG $4500 30 12% 20 4.4 20% 4%
Jerryd Bayless PG $4500 26 17% 20 4.4 26% 6%
Arron Afflalo SG $4400 32 18% 22 4.9 37% 14%
Dion Waiters SG $4400 25 19% 19 4.3 18% 3%
Robert Covington SF $4400 28 24% 27 6.1 78% 53%
Jerami Grant SF $4400 30 18% 24 5.4 63% 30%
Langston Galloway SG $4300 26 17% 20 4.7 33% 8%
Manu Ginobili SG $4300 22 21% 22 5.2 73% 36%
Ersan Ilyasova PF $4300 26 21% 23 5.4 58% 28%
Danny Green SG $4300 29 15% 23 5.3 53% 27%
Marco Belinelli SG $4300 25 17% 18 4.1 21% 3%
Luol Deng SF $4200 31 16% 23 5.4 50% 23%
Jabari Parker PF $4200 27 18% 21 5.1 46% 15%
Robin Lopez C $4200 25 14% 19 4.6 38% 8%
Tyler Johnson SG $4100 20 14% 14 3.4 10% 1%
Trey Burke PG $4000 23 24% 20 5.1 57% 24%
Aaron Gordon SF $4000 16 16% 13 3.4 1% 0%
Kosta Koufos C $4000 23 14% 20 5.1 33% 5%
Justise Winslow SF $4000 27 13% 16 4.1 14% 1%
Kevin Martin SG $3900 24 26% 21 5.3 57% 32%
PJ Tucker SF $3900 27 13% 20 5.0 22% 5%
Nik Stauskas SG $3800 24 16% 16 4.2 28% 7%
TJ Warren SF $3800 22 19% 17 4.4 15% 2%
Jose Calderon PG $3800 30 14% 22 5.9 59% 32%
Steven Adams C $3700 25 11% 19 5.1 38% 13%
Cody Zeller PF $3700 21 16% 18 4.9 50% 15%
Ben McLemore SG $3600 19 16% 12 3.3 9% 1%
Hollis Thompson SG $3600 23 17% 16 4.4 27% 6%
Gorgui Dieng C $3600 19 15% 18 4.9 58% 26%
Stanley Johnson SF $3600 18 20% 13 3.7 11% 1%
Greivis Vasquez PG $3600 18 18% 15 4.2 5% 0%
Patty Mills PG $3500 21 19% 18 5.1 40% 9%
Willie Cauley-Stein C $3500 16 11% 13 3.6 7% 0%
Boris Diaw PF $3400 18 16% 14 4.1 16% 2%
Isaiah Canaan PG $3400 21 23% 18 5.3 58% 32%
Gerald Green SG $3300 19 25% 15 4.6 39% 12%
Trevor Booker PF $3200 20 16% 16 5.1 48% 21%
Anderson Varejao C $3200 18 16% 17 5.2 40% 13%
Richard Jefferson SF $3100 20 14% 12 4.0 12% 2%
Adreian Payne PF $3000 17 17% 13 4.3 25% 6%
Andre Roberson SG $3000 20 8% 12 4.0 8% 1%
Spencer Dinwiddie PG $3000 17 20% 15 4.9 33% 9%
Lance Thomas SF $3000 17 16% 10 3.3 3% 0%
Tayshaun Prince SF $3000 18 12% 11 3.7 4% 0%
Mirza Teletovic SF $3000 19 18% 17 5.6 38% 16%
Alex Len C $3000 16 15% 13 4.5 34% 8%
Shabazz Muhammad SF $3000 19 22% 16 5.4 63% 38%
Spencer Hawes C $3000 19 17% 18 6.0 64% 29%
Anthony Tolliver PF $3000 19 13% 12 4.0 15% 2%
 

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