The following daily fantasy basketball projections are created using a method similar to Basketball Reference’s Simple Projection System. I have a quick walkthrough of my process here. If you have any questions, please feel to ask here, via email (jengl867 AT gmail DOT com) or on Twitter (@JoshEngleman).
Quick note: when it comes to the Best Plays/Best Values, these are all of the guys that currently are in my shortlist for tonight. I’m literally listing everyone that I will potentially roster. If they aren’t listed in those two places, then I won’t be rostering them. Obviously this changes as more news comes about injuries, but this is truly how it looks right now for me.
If you are trying to up your DFS game, I highly recommend checking out Fantasy Cruncher. It really is an amazing tool. It provides a great blueprint, plus it helps keep you organized.
If you are looking to sign-up at DraftKings, please do so through this link.
Point Guards
| Name | Pos | Salary | MPG | DK | DK/$1k | 5X% | 6X% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul | PG | $9200 | 37.8 | 42.6 | 4.6 | 36.4% | 9.9% |
| John Wall | PG | $8900 | 36.4 | 37.9 | 4.3 | 22.6% | 3.9% |
| Damian Lillard | PG | $8700 | 38.2 | 39.0 | 4.5 | 32.9% | 9.7% |
| Kyrie Irving | PG | $8500 | 39.0 | 39.1 | 4.6 | 37.4% | 13.0% |
| Darren Collison | PG | $6500 | 36.8 | 31.1 | 4.8 | 42.6% | 14.8% |
| Goran Dragic | PG | $6100 | 35.6 | 33.4 | 5.5 | 62.2% | 36.5% |
| Isaiah Thomas | PG | $5400 | 23.9 | 23.0 | 4.3 | 28.2% | 8.8% |
| Brian Roberts | PG | $4500 | 33.9 | 26.8 | 6.0 | 67.5% | 49.1% |
| Devin Harris | PG | $3900 | 24.5 | 20.2 | 5.2 | 53.7% | 34.4% |
| J.J. Barea | PG | $3400 | 28.1 | 24.4 | 7.2 | 81.0% | 68.4% |
Best Plays (>=$5000): Chris Paul, John Wall, Damian Lillard, Darren Collison, Goran Dragic, Isaiah Thomas
Avoid:
Best Value (<$5000): Brian Roberts, Jose Barea
Shooting Guards
| Name | Pos | Salary | MPG | DK | DK/$1k | 5X% | 6X% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Bledsoe | SG | $8000 | 36.7 | 36.5 | 4.6 | 37.0% | 13.7% |
| Monta Ellis | SG | $7700 | 35.8 | 33.2 | 4.3 | 26.9% | 6.7% |
| Wesley Matthews | SG | $6000 | 34.4 | 27.0 | 4.5 | 35.7% | 13.7% |
| Bradley Beal | SG | $6000 | 37.8 | 30.2 | 5.0 | 51.1% | 23.6% |
| Jamal Crawford | SG | $5000 | 39.0 | 31.7 | 6.3 | 75.9% | 57.1% |
| J.R. Smith | SG | $4700 | 32.4 | 26.6 | 5.7 | 62.4% | 43.4% |
| Lance Stephenson | SG | $4300 | 25.0 | 20.5 | 4.8 | 42.3% | 14.9% |
| Gerald Henderson | SG | $4000 | 31.9 | 24.9 | 6.2 | 74.2% | 54.6% |
| Ben McLemore | SG | $3900 | 36.5 | 22.3 | 5.7 | 65.3% | 44.2% |
| Iman Shumpert | SG | $3100 | 23.0 | 16.2 | 5.2 | 54.7% | 35.2% |
Best Plays (>=$5000): Eric Bledsoe, Monta Ellis, Bradley Beal, Wesley Matthews, Jamal Crawford
Avoid:
Best Value (<$5000): Gerald Henderson
Small Forwards
| Name | Pos | Salary | MPG | DK | DK/$1k | 5X% | 6X% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James | SF | $10500 | 36.3 | 44.5 | 4.2 | 21.6% | 3.5% |
| Rudy Gay | SF | $7500 | 34.5 | 33.0 | 4.4 | 29.3% | 7.3% |
| Chandler Parsons | SF | $5700 | 35.1 | 28.3 | 5.0 | 48.9% | 25.6% |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist | SF | $5500 | 30.4 | 25.2 | 4.6 | 38.4% | 16.1% |
| Nicolas Batum | SF | $5000 | 35.3 | 30.9 | 6.2 | 73.6% | 53.8% |
| Paul Pierce | SF | $4600 | 25.5 | 22.7 | 4.9 | 48.1% | 24.7% |
| P.J. Tucker | SF | $4200 | 31.7 | 22.9 | 5.4 | 59.9% | 37.9% |
| Matt Barnes | SF | $4200 | 39.5 | 28.3 | 6.7 | 79.0% | 63.3% |
| Al-Farouq Aminu | SF | $4000 | 25.8 | 20.6 | 5.1 | 52.6% | 34.3% |
Best Plays (>=$5000): LeBron James, Rudy Gay, Chandler Parsons, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
Avoid:
Best Value (<$5000): Matt Barnes, Al-Farouq Aminu
Power Forwards
| Name | Pos | Salary | MPG | DK | DK/$1k | 5X% | 6X% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Griffin | PF | $9400 | 36.5 | 39.9 | 4.2 | 23.0% | 4.3% |
| LaMarcus Aldridge | PF | $9400 | 37.3 | 42.3 | 4.5 | 33.3% | 9.8% |
| Kevin Love | PF | $8400 | 35.8 | 40.2 | 4.8 | 43.7% | 18.6% |
| Dirk Nowitzki | PF | $6200 | 30.2 | 30.5 | 4.9 | 47.6% | 19.9% |
| Markieff Morris | PF | $5900 | 31.8 | 29.5 | 5.0 | 50.0% | 24.4% |
| Cody Zeller | PF | $5300 | 30.9 | 26.5 | 5.0 | 50.1% | 27.9% |
| Tristan Thompson | PF | $5000 | 26.7 | 21.7 | 4.3 | 32.4% | 12.7% |
| Nene Hilario | PF | $4700 | 28.2 | 25.0 | 5.3 | 58.0% | 33.8% |
| Kris Humphries | PF | $4600 | 25.5 | 22.3 | 4.9 | 46.5% | 25.0% |
| Marcus Morris | PF | $3200 | 20.4 | 16.3 | 5.1 | 52.5% | 29.6% |
| Carl Landry | PF | $3000 | 21.0 | 17.4 | 5.8 | 62.6% | 46.9% |
| Jason Thompson | PF | $3000 | 23.4 | 17.8 | 5.9 | 66.8% | 48.6% |
Best Plays (>=$5000): Blake Griffin, Kevin Love
Avoid:
Best Value (<$5000):
Centers
| Name | Pos | Salary | MPG | DK | DK/$1k | 5X% | 6X% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMarcus Cousins | C | $10600 | 38.5 | 49.0 | 4.6 | 36.2% | 9.8% |
| DeAndre Jordan | C | $7800 | 35.2 | 31.4 | 4.0 | 22.1% | 5.9% |
| Al Jefferson | C | $7600 | 32.4 | 36.1 | 4.7 | 41.4% | 14.1% |
| Tyson Chandler | C | $6400 | 31.2 | 27.1 | 4.2 | 28.2% | 9.2% |
| Timofey Mozgov | C | $5200 | 21.3 | 17.8 | 3.4 | 7.2% | 0.9% |
| Marcin Gortat | C | $5000 | 28.7 | 25.0 | 5.0 | 50.0% | 24.2% |
| Robin Lopez | C | $4400 | 26.0 | 23.0 | 5.2 | 55.3% | 32.1% |
| Alex Len | C | $3200 | 22.4 | 19.4 | 6.1 | 67.2% | 51.0% |
Best Plays (>=$5000): DeMarcus Cousins, DeAndre Jordan, Al Jefferson, Tyson Chandler
Avoid: Timofey Mozgov
Best Value (<$5000):
Utility
| Name | Pos | Salary | MPG | DK | DK/$1k | 5X% | 6X% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMarcus Cousins | C | $10600 | 38.5 | 49.0 | 4.6 | 36.2% | 9.8% |
| LeBron James | SF | $10500 | 36.3 | 44.5 | 4.2 | 21.6% | 3.5% |
| Blake Griffin | PF | $9400 | 36.5 | 39.9 | 4.2 | 23.0% | 4.3% |
| LaMarcus Aldridge | PF | $9400 | 37.3 | 42.3 | 4.5 | 33.3% | 9.8% |
| Chris Paul | PG | $9200 | 37.8 | 42.6 | 4.6 | 36.4% | 9.9% |
| John Wall | PG | $8900 | 36.4 | 37.9 | 4.3 | 22.6% | 3.9% |
| Damian Lillard | PG | $8700 | 38.2 | 39.0 | 4.5 | 32.9% | 9.7% |
| Kyrie Irving | PG | $8500 | 39.0 | 39.1 | 4.6 | 37.4% | 13.0% |
| Kevin Love | PF | $8400 | 35.8 | 40.2 | 4.8 | 43.7% | 18.6% |
| Eric Bledsoe | SG | $8000 | 36.7 | 36.5 | 4.6 | 37.0% | 13.7% |
| DeAndre Jordan | C | $7800 | 35.2 | 31.4 | 4.0 | 22.1% | 5.9% |
| Monta Ellis | SG | $7700 | 35.8 | 33.2 | 4.3 | 26.9% | 6.7% |
| Al Jefferson | C | $7600 | 32.4 | 36.1 | 4.7 | 41.4% | 14.1% |
| Rudy Gay | SF | $7500 | 34.5 | 33.0 | 4.4 | 29.3% | 7.3% |
| Darren Collison | PG | $6500 | 36.8 | 31.1 | 4.8 | 42.6% | 14.8% |
| Tyson Chandler | C | $6400 | 31.2 | 27.1 | 4.2 | 28.2% | 9.2% |
| Dirk Nowitzki | PF | $6200 | 30.2 | 30.5 | 4.9 | 47.6% | 19.9% |
| Goran Dragic | PG | $6100 | 35.6 | 33.4 | 5.5 | 62.2% | 36.5% |
| Bradley Beal | SG | $6000 | 37.8 | 30.2 | 5.0 | 51.1% | 23.6% |
| Wesley Matthews | SG | $6000 | 34.4 | 27.0 | 4.5 | 35.7% | 13.7% |
| Markieff Morris | PF | $5900 | 31.8 | 29.5 | 5.0 | 50.0% | 24.4% |
| Chandler Parsons | SF | $5700 | 35.1 | 28.3 | 5.0 | 48.9% | 25.6% |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist | SF | $5500 | 30.4 | 25.2 | 4.6 | 38.4% | 16.1% |
| Isaiah Thomas | PG | $5400 | 23.9 | 23.0 | 4.3 | 28.2% | 8.8% |
| Cody Zeller | PF | $5300 | 30.9 | 26.5 | 5.0 | 50.1% | 27.9% |
| Timofey Mozgov | C | $5200 | 21.3 | 17.8 | 3.4 | 7.2% | 0.9% |
| Marcin Gortat | C | $5000 | 28.7 | 25.0 | 5.0 | 50.0% | 24.2% |
| Tristan Thompson | PF | $5000 | 26.7 | 21.7 | 4.3 | 32.4% | 12.7% |
| Nicolas Batum | SF | $5000 | 35.3 | 30.9 | 6.2 | 73.6% | 53.8% |
| Jamal Crawford | SG | $5000 | 39.0 | 31.7 | 6.3 | 75.9% | 57.1% |
| J.R. Smith | SG | $4700 | 32.4 | 26.6 | 5.7 | 62.4% | 43.4% |
| Nene Hilario | PF | $4700 | 28.2 | 25.0 | 5.3 | 58.0% | 33.8% |
| Paul Pierce | SF | $4600 | 25.5 | 22.7 | 4.9 | 48.1% | 24.7% |
| Kris Humphries | PF | $4600 | 25.5 | 22.3 | 4.9 | 46.5% | 25.0% |
| Brian Roberts | PG | $4500 | 33.9 | 26.8 | 6.0 | 67.5% | 49.1% |
| Robin Lopez | C | $4400 | 26.0 | 23.0 | 5.2 | 55.3% | 32.1% |
| Lance Stephenson | SG | $4300 | 25.0 | 20.5 | 4.8 | 42.3% | 14.9% |
| Matt Barnes | SF | $4200 | 39.5 | 28.3 | 6.7 | 79.0% | 63.3% |
| P.J. Tucker | SF | $4200 | 31.7 | 22.9 | 5.4 | 59.9% | 37.9% |
| Gerald Henderson | SG | $4000 | 31.9 | 24.9 | 6.2 | 74.2% | 54.6% |
| Al-Farouq Aminu | SF | $4000 | 25.8 | 20.6 | 5.1 | 52.6% | 34.3% |
| Devin Harris | PG | $3900 | 24.5 | 20.2 | 5.2 | 53.7% | 34.4% |
| Ben McLemore | SG | $3900 | 36.5 | 22.3 | 5.7 | 65.3% | 44.2% |
| J.J. Barea | PG | $3400 | 28.1 | 24.4 | 7.2 | 81.0% | 68.4% |
| Alex Len | C | $3200 | 22.4 | 19.4 | 6.1 | 67.2% | 51.0% |
| Marcus Morris | PF | $3200 | 20.4 | 16.3 | 5.1 | 52.5% | 29.6% |
| Iman Shumpert | SG | $3100 | 23.0 | 16.2 | 5.2 | 54.7% | 35.2% |
| Jason Thompson | PF | $3000 | 23.4 | 17.8 | 5.9 | 66.8% | 48.6% |
| Carl Landry | PF | $3000 | 21.0 | 17.4 | 5.8 | 62.6% | 46.9% |