Daily Fantasy Basketball Projections – November 9, 2014 – NBA DFS

I hope everyone was able to survive last night’s Dwight Howard late scratch nonsense. I scrambled at the last second to yank him from my line-ups and it ended up pushing me into a positive night. Even though Sunday is the football Sabbath, I’m still here to bring you fantasy projections for the entire NBA schedule. The following daily fantasy projections are based on DraftKings scoring. If you haven’t played at DraftKings before, click the logo below to sign-up.

daily fantasy projections

Once again, Steph Curry is one of the best options of the night. The price is getting a little steep, but he’s still a great bet to hit value. Tony Wroten goes without saying at this point. It would take an exceptionally disastrous game for him to not hit 5X. Brandon Jennings is someone who I could sneak into a line-up. I would expect him to land in the 5.5X value range. Sebastian Telfair is solid, if you need a punt option. The minutes are available, so it shouldn’t take much to get to 6X.

Point Guard Projections
Name Pos Salary MPG DK DK/$1k 5X% 6X%
Stephen Curry PG $10200 35.7 52.1 5.1 52.3% 23.0%
Kyle Lowry PG $8700 31.5 30.8 3.5 6.8% 0.9%
Kemba Walker PG $8200 31.8 28.8 3.5 9.8% 0.9%
Damian Lillard PG $7700 35.6 32.8 4.3 27.6% 9.5%
Deron Williams PG $7700 36.7 31.4 4.1 19.9% 4.5%
Tony Wroten PG $7600 34.9 42.4 5.6 63.5% 39.9%
Ty Lawson PG $6700 32.8 27.8 4.1 25.0% 7.7%
Darren Collison PG $6600 32.1 23.5 3.6 9.5% 1.2%
Isaiah Thomas PG $6300 23.3 23.5 3.7 15.7% 2.9%
Goran Dragic PG $6200 32.1 29.0 4.7 42.2% 19.2%
Reggie Jackson PG $6000 38.0 34.7 5.8 65.7% 43.1%
Elfrid Payton PG $5600 30.6 22.1 3.9 21.6% 5.6%
Brandon Jennings PG $5500 29.4 25.5 4.6 37.9% 15.4%
Jeremy Lin PG $5300 30.7 22.2 4.2 26.3% 7.7%
Devin Harris PG $5000 25.7 18.8 3.8 11.4% 1.9%
Mario Chalmers PG $5000 25.7 18.1 3.6 13.6% 2.8%
Trey Burke PG $4900 27.2 19.5 4.0 20.6% 5.8%
D.J. Augustin PG $4300 21.6 15.7 3.6 12.6% 2.0%
Jarrett Jack PG $4200 22.8 14.1 3.4 7.6% 1.0%
Jameer Nelson PG $3900 24.7 16.7 4.3 30.0% 10.6%
Dante Exum PG $3700 23.2 10.5 2.8 4.4% 0.7%
Norris Cole PG $3500 25.7 13.4 3.8 20.5% 7.3%
Shabazz Napier PG $3100 20.7 7.8 2.5 0.9% 0.0%
Steve Blake PG $3000 20.3 10.2 3.4 9.4% 1.7%
Ronnie Price PG $3000 23.3 11.9 4.0 23.1% 7.8%
Sebastian Telfair PG $3000 27.0 20.8 6.9 81.7% 66.7%

 
At his current price, Kobe has average 5X for the season. I think he is by far the best SG option tonight. Wade looks good in the projections once again, but he makes me nervous in the second game of a B2B. I’ll avoid him. I see Eric Bledsoe as a nice GPP-play in the middle tier of SGs. Finally, Jeremy Lamb’s ownership % will be through the roof, but he’s the best value at any position. He needs to be in at least one of your line-ups.

Shooting Guard Projections
Name Pos Salary MPG DK DK/$1k 5X% 6X%
Kobe Bryant SG $8500 35.9 47.9 5.6 65.7% 40.2%
DeMar DeRozan SG $8400 32.4 31.9 3.8 16.9% 3.6%
Gordon Hayward SG $7800 34.3 29.0 3.7 11.8% 2.3%
Dwyane Wade SG $7600 31.6 37.1 4.9 45.3% 19.1%
Klay Thompson SG $7300 31.7 28.3 3.9 20.5% 5.4%
Joe Johnson SG $7200 31.7 24.4 3.4 6.2% 0.8%
Lance Stephenson SG $7000 31.8 21.8 3.1 1.7% 0.1%
Eric Bledsoe SG $6600 31.1 30.4 4.6 40.0% 17.1%
Monta Ellis SG $6500 29.6 26.6 4.1 22.5% 5.0%
Wesley Matthews SG $6100 32.5 21.0 3.5 7.6% 1.1%
Alec Burks SG $5500 32.3 24.0 4.4 33.1% 10.9%
Evan Fournier SG $4900 30.6 19.6 4.0 23.2% 7.1%
Arron Afflalo SG $4800 29.7 19.3 4.0 25.7% 8.9%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope SG $4800 34.3 16.7 3.5 9.5% 1.5%
Gary Neal SG $4400 24.3 16.1 3.7 19.2% 6.2%
Randy Foye SG $4400 26.7 17.4 4.0 22.9% 8.3%
Bojan Bogdanovic SG $3700 26.8 13.0 3.5 13.5% 3.3%
Ben McLemore SG $3600 25.3 11.4 3.2 8.0% 1.9%
Jeremy Lamb SG $3500 35.0 26.6 7.6 89.4% 76.7%
Wayne Ellington SG $3000 21.1 12.5 4.2 23.4% 5.8%

 
As usual, my projections think highly of Rudy Gay. I would only be rostering him in GPPs. Too much boom/bust for my taste. I actually think Josh Smith might be a decent cash game play. He’s been very solid so far under SVG. Draymond Green is a nice mid-priced option. If you are feeling particularly strong about one of Andre Iguodala, Wilson Chandler, Hollis Thompson or K.J. McDaniels, I wouldn’t call you crazy for starting them.

Small Forward Projections
Name Pos Salary MPG DK DK/$1k 5X% 6X%
Rudy Gay SF $7700 34.0 33.6 4.4 34.0% 13.1%
Josh Smith SF $7600 35.3 33.6 4.4 31.1% 9.3%
Tobias Harris SF $6800 35.4 29.5 4.3 29.4% 8.7%
Nicolas Batum SF $6700 33.6 23.3 3.5 5.3% 0.5%
Chandler Parsons SF $6200 30.6 21.9 3.5 10.6% 1.7%
Draymond Green SF $5700 33.7 25.4 4.5 32.6% 9.7%
Luol Deng SF $5300 29.6 23.3 4.4 33.5% 12.7%
Terrence Ross SF $5100 23.2 14.0 2.7 1.1% 0.0%
Mirza Teletovic SF $5000 23.8 17.2 3.4 7.2% 1.3%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist SF $4700 24.3 14.5 3.1 2.3% 0.2%
Luc Richard Mbah a Moute SF $4400 27.5 14.4 3.3 6.6% 1.3%
Andre Iguodala SF $4400 29.6 19.7 4.5 31.5% 9.7%
Wilson Chandler SF $4400 27.7 19.1 4.3 29.7% 9.7%
Harrison Barnes SF $4300 26.6 16.3 3.8 19.2% 6.0%
Hollis Thompson SF $4300 34.9 18.5 4.3 28.3% 9.1%
K.J. McDaniels SF $4300 28.5 17.2 4.0 23.7% 9.5%
P.J. Tucker SF $4100 27.2 15.9 3.9 17.8% 4.1%
Shawne Williams SF $4000 30.6 21.7 5.4 64.1% 32.2%
Marvin Williams SF $4000 23.3 13.0 3.2 5.5% 0.5%
Caron Butler SF $3900 27.4 16.8 4.3 30.0% 13.1%
Wesley Johnson SF $3600 32.8 16.2 4.5 38.4% 14.4%

 
I’m not sure I feel the same way as my projections when it comes to LaMarcus Aldridge. I would probably just stick to cash games with him. There just isn’t a lot of value at PF for these games. If Perry Jones sits, Lance Thomas looks like a really good play at $3800. He should get around 30 minutes. Same for Brandon Davies via Nerlens Noel. They are simply minutes plays.

Power Forward Projections
Name Pos Salary MPG DK DK/$1k 5X% 6X%
LaMarcus Aldridge PF $8600 35.6 39.8 4.6 39.9% 15.8%
Serge Ibaka PF $7500 33.0 31.6 4.2 21.7% 4.1%
Dirk Nowitzki PF $7200 28.6 30.5 4.2 26.4% 8.1%
Greg Monroe PF $7100 29.4 26.9 3.8 11.0% 1.4%
Derrick Favors PF $7100 29.2 25.8 3.6 12.1% 1.7%
Markieff Morris PF $6600 31.1 28.2 4.3 28.2% 7.9%
Jordan Hill PF $6400 32.8 27.7 4.3 26.8% 5.9%
Kenneth Faried PF $6200 24.6 21.4 3.4 7.6% 1.0%
Amir Johnson PF $5800 21.3 15.3 2.6 0.2% 0.0%
Patrick Patterson PF $5500 24.1 15.6 2.8 0.7% 0.0%
Carlos Boozer PF $5500 27.5 23.8 4.3 32.1% 12.0%
Channing Frye PF $5500 31.6 19.5 3.5 11.6% 2.8%
Kevin Garnett PF $5000 21.8 18.2 3.6 6.2% 0.4%
Ed Davis PF $4900 23.3 17.4 3.6 5.7% 0.3%
Marcus Morris PF $4700 28.2 19.3 4.1 24.4% 7.8%
Cody Zeller PF $4600 20.5 14.1 3.1 2.7% 0.2%
Jakarr Sampson PF $4000 25.4 12.4 3.1 10.7% 3.2%
Trevor Booker PF $3900 20.2 12.4 3.2 2.6% 0.1%
Lance Thomas PF $3800 28.0 18.8 4.9 49.0% 24.9%
Carl Landry PF $3800 21.4 13.6 3.6 10.2% 2.2%
Brandon Davies PF $3700 26.4 21.9 5.9 74.2% 48.8%
Jason Thompson PF $3300 27.2 14.3 4.3 30.9% 10.6%
Tyler Hansbrough PF $3200 20.4 11.7 3.6 11.2% 2.2%

 
With a price tag at $10K, Boogie is a scary roster proposition. His propensity for fouling people makes him almost impossible to take in a cash game. The problem with that theory is he can still get you 50 fantasy points in 25 minutes. He’s just that good. If he stays out of foul trouble, the sky’s the limit. If you are too scared to pay up for Cousins, Al Jefferson is an excellent step down. But the best value at center, however, is Brook Lopez. His price will start to creep a bit higher, but now, 5X should come easily. If you don’t want to pay for anything at this position, you should be rostering either Henry Sims or Steven Adams, Sims in particular if Noel sits again.

Center Projections
Name Pos Salary MPG DK DK/$1k 5X% 6X%
DeMarcus Cousins C $10000 28.2 42.0 4.2 24.7% 5.2%
Chris Bosh C $8700 34.6 34.3 3.9 14.3% 2.4%
Al Jefferson C $8600 32.7 37.5 4.4 31.5% 9.0%
Nikola Vucevic C $8300 35.4 33.5 4.0 19.9% 4.0%
Andre Drummond C $7200 26.4 23.2 3.2 0.2% 0.0%
Brook Lopez C $6700 29.8 30.9 4.6 40.5% 17.2%
Robin Lopez C $6100 28.5 18.3 3.0 0.3% 0.0%
Jonas Valanciunas C $5900 23.2 18.3 3.1 1.4% 0.0%
Andrew Bogut C $5700 33.7 26.5 4.7 33.7% 6.7%
Tyson Chandler C $5600 29.6 17.8 3.2 1.5% 0.0%
Miles Plumlee C $5100 24.3 16.5 3.2 2.9% 0.1%
Enes Kanter C $4900 25.2 20.5 4.2 28.1% 10.0%
Henry Sims C $4300 25.4 21.2 4.9 46.3% 20.8%
Steven Adams C $4100 31.0 19.0 4.6 34.5% 11.5%
Nick Collison C $3000 24.0 12.7 4.2 28.9% 9.7%

 
Utility Projections

Name Pos Salary MPG DK DK/$1k 5X% 6X%
Stephen Curry PG $10200 35.7 52.1 5.1 52.3% 23.0%
DeMarcus Cousins C $10000 28.2 42.0 4.2 24.7% 5.2%
Kyle Lowry PG $8700 31.5 30.8 3.5 6.8% 0.9%
Chris Bosh C $8700 34.6 34.3 3.9 14.3% 2.4%
Al Jefferson C $8600 32.7 37.5 4.4 31.5% 9.0%
LaMarcus Aldridge PF $8600 35.6 39.8 4.6 39.9% 15.8%
Kobe Bryant SG $8500 35.9 47.9 5.6 65.7% 40.2%
DeMar DeRozan SG $8400 32.4 31.9 3.8 16.9% 3.6%
Nikola Vucevic C $8300 35.4 33.5 4.0 19.9% 4.0%
Kemba Walker PG $8200 31.8 28.8 3.5 9.8% 0.9%
Gordon Hayward SG $7800 34.3 29.0 3.7 11.8% 2.3%
Damian Lillard PG $7700 35.6 32.8 4.3 27.6% 9.5%
Rudy Gay SF $7700 34.0 33.6 4.4 34.0% 13.1%
Deron Williams PG $7700 36.7 31.4 4.1 19.9% 4.5%
Dwyane Wade SG $7600 31.6 37.1 4.9 45.3% 19.1%
Josh Smith SF $7600 35.3 33.6 4.4 31.1% 9.3%
Tony Wroten PG $7600 34.9 42.4 5.6 63.5% 39.9%
Serge Ibaka PF $7500 33.0 31.6 4.2 21.7% 4.1%
Klay Thompson SG $7300 31.7 28.3 3.9 20.5% 5.4%
Andre Drummond C $7200 26.4 23.2 3.2 0.2% 0.0%
Dirk Nowitzki PF $7200 28.6 30.5 4.2 26.4% 8.1%
Joe Johnson SG $7200 31.7 24.4 3.4 6.2% 0.8%
Greg Monroe PF $7100 29.4 26.9 3.8 11.0% 1.4%
Derrick Favors PF $7100 29.2 25.8 3.6 12.1% 1.7%
Lance Stephenson SG $7000 31.8 21.8 3.1 1.7% 0.1%
Tobias Harris SF $6800 35.4 29.5 4.3 29.4% 8.7%
Nicolas Batum SF $6700 33.6 23.3 3.5 5.3% 0.5%
Ty Lawson PG $6700 32.8 27.8 4.1 25.0% 7.7%
Brook Lopez C $6700 29.8 30.9 4.6 40.5% 17.2%
Eric Bledsoe SG $6600 31.1 30.4 4.6 40.0% 17.1%
Darren Collison PG $6600 32.1 23.5 3.6 9.5% 1.2%
Markieff Morris PF $6600 31.1 28.2 4.3 28.2% 7.9%
Monta Ellis SG $6500 29.6 26.6 4.1 22.5% 5.0%
Jordan Hill PF $6400 32.8 27.7 4.3 26.8% 5.9%
Isaiah Thomas PG $6300 23.3 23.5 3.7 15.7% 2.9%
Chandler Parsons SF $6200 30.6 21.9 3.5 10.6% 1.7%
Goran Dragic PG $6200 32.1 29.0 4.7 42.2% 19.2%
Kenneth Faried PF $6200 24.6 21.4 3.4 7.6% 1.0%
Wesley Matthews SG $6100 32.5 21.0 3.5 7.6% 1.1%
Robin Lopez C $6100 28.5 18.3 3.0 0.3% 0.0%
Reggie Jackson PG $6000 38.0 34.7 5.8 65.7% 43.1%
Jonas Valanciunas C $5900 23.2 18.3 3.1 1.4% 0.0%
Amir Johnson PF $5800 21.3 15.3 2.6 0.2% 0.0%
Andrew Bogut C $5700 33.7 26.5 4.7 33.7% 6.7%
Draymond Green SF $5700 33.7 25.4 4.5 32.6% 9.7%
Tyson Chandler C $5600 29.6 17.8 3.2 1.5% 0.0%
Elfrid Payton PG $5600 30.6 22.1 3.9 21.6% 5.6%
Carlos Boozer PF $5500 27.5 23.8 4.3 32.1% 12.0%
Channing Frye PF $5500 31.6 19.5 3.5 11.6% 2.8%
Patrick Patterson PF $5500 24.1 15.6 2.8 0.7% 0.0%
Alec Burks SG $5500 32.3 24.0 4.4 33.1% 10.9%
Brandon Jennings PG $5500 29.4 25.5 4.6 37.9% 15.4%
Luol Deng SF $5300 29.6 23.3 4.4 33.5% 12.7%
Jeremy Lin PG $5300 30.7 22.2 4.2 26.3% 7.7%
Miles Plumlee C $5100 24.3 16.5 3.2 2.9% 0.1%
Terrence Ross SF $5100 23.2 14.0 2.7 1.1% 0.0%
Mirza Teletovic SF $5000 23.8 17.2 3.4 7.2% 1.3%
Devin Harris PG $5000 25.7 18.8 3.8 11.4% 1.9%
Mario Chalmers PG $5000 25.7 18.1 3.6 13.6% 2.8%
Kevin Garnett PF $5000 21.8 18.2 3.6 6.2% 0.4%
Evan Fournier SG $4900 30.6 19.6 4.0 23.2% 7.1%
Trey Burke PG $4900 27.2 19.5 4.0 20.6% 5.8%
Ed Davis PF $4900 23.3 17.4 3.6 5.7% 0.3%
Enes Kanter C $4900 25.2 20.5 4.2 28.1% 10.0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope SG $4800 34.3 16.7 3.5 9.5% 1.5%
Arron Afflalo SG $4800 29.7 19.3 4.0 25.7% 8.9%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist SF $4700 24.3 14.5 3.1 2.3% 0.2%
Marcus Morris PF $4700 28.2 19.3 4.1 24.4% 7.8%
Cody Zeller PF $4600 20.5 14.1 3.1 2.7% 0.2%
Gary Neal SG $4400 24.3 16.1 3.7 19.2% 6.2%
Andre Iguodala SF $4400 29.6 19.7 4.5 31.5% 9.7%
Randy Foye SG $4400 26.7 17.4 4.0 22.9% 8.3%
Wilson Chandler SF $4400 27.7 19.1 4.3 29.7% 9.7%
Luc Richard Mbah a Moute SF $4400 27.5 14.4 3.3 6.6% 1.3%
Hollis Thompson SF $4300 34.9 18.5 4.3 28.3% 9.1%
Henry Sims C $4300 25.4 21.2 4.9 46.3% 20.8%
K.J. McDaniels SF $4300 28.5 17.2 4.0 23.7% 9.5%
D.J. Augustin PG $4300 21.6 15.7 3.6 12.6% 2.0%
Harrison Barnes SF $4300 26.6 16.3 3.8 19.2% 6.0%
Jarrett Jack PG $4200 22.8 14.1 3.4 7.6% 1.0%
Steven Adams C $4100 31.0 19.0 4.6 34.5% 11.5%
P.J. Tucker SF $4100 27.2 15.9 3.9 17.8% 4.1%
Marvin Williams SF $4000 23.3 13.0 3.2 5.5% 0.5%
Jakarr Sampson PF $4000 25.4 12.4 3.1 10.7% 3.2%
Shawne Williams SF $4000 30.6 21.7 5.4 64.1% 32.2%
Caron Butler SF $3900 27.4 16.8 4.3 30.0% 13.1%
Trevor Booker PF $3900 20.2 12.4 3.2 2.6% 0.1%
Jameer Nelson PG $3900 24.7 16.7 4.3 30.0% 10.6%
Carl Landry PF $3800 21.4 13.6 3.6 10.2% 2.2%
Lance Thomas PF $3800 28.0 18.8 4.9 49.0% 24.9%
Bojan Bogdanovic SG $3700 26.8 13.0 3.5 13.5% 3.3%
Dante Exum PG $3700 23.2 10.5 2.8 4.4% 0.7%
Brandon Davies PF $3700 26.4 21.9 5.9 74.2% 48.8%
Ben McLemore SG $3600 25.3 11.4 3.2 8.0% 1.9%
Wesley Johnson SF $3600 32.8 16.2 4.5 38.4% 14.4%
Jeremy Lamb SG $3500 35.0 26.6 7.6 89.4% 76.7%
Norris Cole PG $3500 25.7 13.4 3.8 20.5% 7.3%
Jason Thompson PF $3300 27.2 14.3 4.3 30.9% 10.6%
Tyler Hansbrough PF $3200 20.4 11.7 3.6 11.2% 2.2%
Shabazz Napier PG $3100 20.7 7.8 2.5 0.9% 0.0%
Sebastian Telfair PG $3000 27.0 20.8 6.9 81.7% 66.7%
Wayne Ellington SG $3000 21.1 12.5 4.2 23.4% 5.8%
Nick Collison C $3000 24.0 12.7 4.2 28.9% 9.7%
Ronnie Price PG $3000 23.3 11.9 4.0 23.1% 7.8%
Steve Blake PG $3000 20.3 10.2 3.4 9.4% 1.7%
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