The following daily fantasy basketball projections are created using a method similar to Basketball Reference’s Simple Projection System. I have a quick walk-through of my process here. If you have any questions, please feel to ask here, via email (jengl867 AT gmail DOT com) or on Twitter (@JoshEngleman).
Quick note: when it comes to the Best Plays/Best Values, these are all of the guys that currently are in my shortlist for tonight. I’m literally listing everyone that I will potentially roster. If they aren’t listed in those two places, then I likely won’t be rostering them. Obviously this changes as more news comes about injuries, but this is truly how it looks right now for me.
If you are trying to up your DFS game, I highly recommend checking out Fantasy Cruncher. I couldn’t imagine building my lineup without it. The projections are excellent, the exporting capabilities are a life saver, and there are new features being added constantly. I would be shocked if it didn’t make you more profitable.
If you are looking to sign-up at FanDuel, please do so through this link.
Updated 3:38PM
Point Guards
| Name | Pos | Salary | MPG | USG% | FD | FD/$1k | 5X% | 6X% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | PG | $10400 | 34 | 32% | 40 | 3.8 | 3% | 0% |
| Reggie Jackson | PG | $8300 | 34 | 26% | 30 | 3.6 | 10% | 1% |
| Derrick Rose | PG | $8100 | 26 | 31% | 24 | 3.0 | 0% | 0% |
| Jeff Teague | PG | $7200 | 31 | 26% | 29 | 4.0 | 13% | 1% |
| Jrue Holiday | PG | $6000 | 20 | 22% | 19 | 3.2 | 0% | 0% |
| Mo Williams | PG | $6000 | 30 | 22% | 22 | 3.7 | 13% | 2% |
| Dennis Schroder | PG | $4600 | 20 | 28% | 18 | 3.8 | 7% | 0% |
| Aaron Brooks | PG | $4200 | 22 | 24% | 17 | 3.9 | 14% | 2% |
| Shaun Livingston | PG | $4000 | 17 | 15% | 12 | 3.0 | 0% | 0% |
| Matthew Dellavedova | PG | $3900 | 24 | 12% | 14 | 3.5 | 5% | 0% |
| Steve Blake | PG | $3800 | 19 | 13% | 12 | 3.1 | 0% | 0% |
| Nate Robinson | PG | $3500 | 21 | 22% | 18 | 5.2 | 57% | 18% |
Best Plays (>=$5000): Reggie Jackson, Mo Williams
Avoid: Jeff Teague
Best Value (<$5000): Nate Robinson
Shooting Guards
| Name | Pos | Salary | MPG | USG% | FD | FD/$1k | 5X% | 6X% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler | SG | $7500 | 36 | 21% | 28 | 3.8 | 10% | 1% |
| Klay Thompson | SG | $7100 | 33 | 28% | 28 | 4.0 | 12% | 1% |
| JR Smith | SG | $5700 | 31 | 18% | 23 | 4.0 | 18% | 3% |
| Kyle Korver | SG | $5400 | 31 | 13% | 20 | 3.7 | 9% | 1% |
| Eric Gordon | SG | $5200 | 34 | 20% | 25 | 4.9 | 46% | 17% |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | SG | $5000 | 34 | 20% | 21 | 4.3 | 27% | 7% |
| Tony Snell | SG | $3900 | 24 | 13% | 13 | 3.4 | 6% | 1% |
| Jodie Meeks | SG | $3900 | 16 | 20% | 11 | 2.7 | 0% | 0% |
| Kent Bazemore | SG | $3700 | 23 | 15% | 16 | 4.3 | 23% | 4% |
Best Plays (>=$5000): Eric Gordon, JR Smith, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Avoid: Jimmy Butler
Best Value (<$5000): Kent Bazemore
Small Forwards
| Name | Pos | Salary | MPG | USG% | FD | FD/$1k | 5X% | 6X% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James | SF | $11000 | 36 | 36% | 46 | 4.1 | 13% | 1% |
| Marcus Morris | SF | $5700 | 27 | 19% | 20 | 3.5 | 4% | 0% |
| Nikola Mirotic | SF | $5500 | 30 | 21% | 27 | 5.0 | 49% | 22% |
| Harrison Barnes | SF | $4600 | 28 | 15% | 18 | 4.0 | 13% | 1% |
| Andre Iguodala | SF | $4300 | 27 | 14% | 19 | 4.5 | 31% | 7% |
| Stanley Johnson | SF | $4300 | 27 | 17% | 18 | 4.2 | 24% | 5% |
| Thabo Sefolosha | SF | $4200 | 16 | 14% | 10 | 2.4 | 0% | 0% |
| Doug McDermott | SF | $4200 | 20 | 17% | 12 | 2.8 | 0% | 0% |
| Alonzo Gee | SF | $3600 | 20 | 16% | 13 | 3.5 | 3% | 0% |
| Luke Babbitt | SF | $3500 | 16 | 13% | 10 | 2.9 | 0% | 0% |
Best Plays (>=$5000): LeBron James, Marcus Morris, Nikola Mirotic
Avoid:
Best Value (<$5000): Stanley Johnson
Power Forwards
| Name | Pos | Salary | MPG | USG% | FD | FD/$1k | 5X% | 6X% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis | PF | $11200 | 36 | 29% | 47 | 4.2 | 18% | 2% |
| Pau Gasol | PF | $7900 | 31 | 24% | 32 | 4.0 | 10% | 0% |
| Draymond Green | PF | $7800 | 31 | 18% | 28 | 3.6 | 4% | 0% |
| Paul Millsap | PF | $7700 | 33 | 23% | 33 | 4.3 | 22% | 3% |
| Kevin Love | PF | $7200 | 33 | 21% | 34 | 4.7 | 38% | 7% |
| Ryan Anderson | PF | $5400 | 32 | 23% | 28 | 5.1 | 53% | 23% |
| Tristan Thompson | PF | $5200 | 24 | 12% | 18 | 3.4 | 3% | 0% |
| Ersan Ilyasova | PF | $5200 | 26 | 23% | 22 | 4.3 | 24% | 4% |
| Taj Gibson | PF | $4900 | 15 | 16% | 12 | 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Jason Thompson | PF | $4800 | 17 | 13% | 12 | 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Dante Cunningham | PF | $4200 | 24 | 10% | 15 | 3.6 | 7% | 0% |
| Mike Muscala | PF | $3800 | 16 | 16% | 12 | 3.2 | 1% | 0% |
Best Plays (>=$5000): Anthony Davis, Paul Millsap, Ryan Anderson
Avoid: Kevin Love
Best Value (<$5000): Ersan Ilyasova
Centers
| Name | Pos | Salary | MPG | USG% | FD | FD/$1k | 5X% | 6X% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Drummond | C | $9000 | 34 | 23% | 38 | 4.2 | 18% | 2% |
| Al Horford | C | $7200 | 31 | 22% | 31 | 4.3 | 19% | 2% |
| Joakim Noah | C | $5700 | 26 | 12% | 24 | 4.2 | 18% | 2% |
| Andrew Bogut | C | $5400 | 24 | 12% | 21 | 4.0 | 10% | 0% |
| Timofey Mozgov | C | $4800 | 24 | 16% | 19 | 3.9 | 11% | 1% |
| Tiago Splitter | C | $4000 | 23 | 17% | 19 | 4.8 | 42% | 10% |
| Aron Baynes | C | $3900 | 15 | 17% | 11 | 2.9 | 0% | 0% |
| Anderson Varejao | C | $3900 | 15 | 17% | 13 | 3.4 | 0% | 0% |
| Alexis Ajinca | C | $3500 | 16 | 19% | 15 | 4.3 | 26% | 5% |
Best Plays (>=$5000): Al Horford
Avoid: Andre Drummond
Best Value (<$5000):
ALL
| Name | Pos | Salary | MPG | USG% | FD | FD/$1k | 5X% | 6X% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis | PF | $11200 | 36 | 29% | 47 | 4.2 | 18% | 2% |
| LeBron James | SF | $11000 | 36 | 36% | 46 | 4.1 | 13% | 1% |
| Stephen Curry | PG | $10400 | 34 | 32% | 40 | 3.8 | 3% | 0% |
| Andre Drummond | C | $9000 | 34 | 23% | 38 | 4.2 | 18% | 2% |
| Reggie Jackson | PG | $8300 | 34 | 26% | 30 | 3.6 | 10% | 1% |
| Derrick Rose | PG | $8100 | 26 | 31% | 24 | 3.0 | 0% | 0% |
| Pau Gasol | PF | $7900 | 31 | 24% | 32 | 4.0 | 10% | 0% |
| Draymond Green | PF | $7800 | 31 | 18% | 28 | 3.6 | 4% | 0% |
| Paul Millsap | PF | $7700 | 33 | 23% | 33 | 4.3 | 22% | 3% |
| Jimmy Butler | SG | $7500 | 36 | 21% | 28 | 3.8 | 10% | 1% |
| Kevin Love | PF | $7200 | 33 | 21% | 34 | 4.7 | 38% | 7% |
| Jeff Teague | PG | $7200 | 31 | 26% | 29 | 4.0 | 13% | 1% |
| Al Horford | C | $7200 | 31 | 22% | 31 | 4.3 | 19% | 2% |
| Klay Thompson | SG | $7100 | 33 | 28% | 28 | 4.0 | 12% | 1% |
| Mo Williams | PG | $6000 | 30 | 22% | 22 | 3.7 | 13% | 2% |
| Jrue Holiday | PG | $6000 | 20 | 22% | 19 | 3.2 | 0% | 0% |
| Marcus Morris | SF | $5700 | 27 | 19% | 20 | 3.5 | 4% | 0% |
| JR Smith | SG | $5700 | 31 | 18% | 23 | 4.0 | 18% | 3% |
| Joakim Noah | C | $5700 | 26 | 12% | 24 | 4.2 | 18% | 2% |
| Nikola Mirotic | SF | $5500 | 30 | 21% | 27 | 5.0 | 49% | 22% |
| Kyle Korver | SG | $5400 | 31 | 13% | 20 | 3.7 | 9% | 1% |
| Andrew Bogut | C | $5400 | 24 | 12% | 21 | 4.0 | 10% | 0% |
| Ryan Anderson | PF | $5400 | 32 | 23% | 28 | 5.1 | 53% | 23% |
| Eric Gordon | SG | $5200 | 34 | 20% | 25 | 4.9 | 46% | 17% |
| Tristan Thompson | PF | $5200 | 24 | 12% | 18 | 3.4 | 3% | 0% |
| Ersan Ilyasova | PF | $5200 | 26 | 23% | 22 | 4.3 | 24% | 4% |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | SG | $5000 | 34 | 20% | 21 | 4.3 | 27% | 7% |
| Taj Gibson | PF | $4900 | 15 | 16% | 12 | 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Timofey Mozgov | C | $4800 | 24 | 16% | 19 | 3.9 | 11% | 1% |
| Jason Thompson | PF | $4800 | 17 | 13% | 12 | 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Harrison Barnes | SF | $4600 | 28 | 15% | 18 | 4.0 | 13% | 1% |
| Dennis Schroder | PG | $4600 | 20 | 28% | 18 | 3.8 | 7% | 0% |
| Andre Iguodala | SF | $4300 | 27 | 14% | 19 | 4.5 | 31% | 7% |
| Stanley Johnson | SF | $4300 | 27 | 17% | 18 | 4.2 | 24% | 5% |
| Aaron Brooks | PG | $4200 | 22 | 24% | 17 | 3.9 | 14% | 2% |
| Thabo Sefolosha | SF | $4200 | 16 | 14% | 10 | 2.4 | 0% | 0% |
| Doug McDermott | SF | $4200 | 20 | 17% | 12 | 2.8 | 0% | 0% |
| Dante Cunningham | PF | $4200 | 24 | 10% | 15 | 3.6 | 7% | 0% |
| Shaun Livingston | PG | $4000 | 17 | 15% | 12 | 3.0 | 0% | 0% |
| Tiago Splitter | C | $4000 | 23 | 17% | 19 | 4.8 | 42% | 10% |
| Matthew Dellavedova | PG | $3900 | 24 | 12% | 14 | 3.5 | 5% | 0% |
| Tony Snell | SG | $3900 | 24 | 13% | 13 | 3.4 | 6% | 1% |
| Anderson Varejao | C | $3900 | 15 | 17% | 13 | 3.4 | 0% | 0% |
| Aron Baynes | C | $3900 | 15 | 17% | 11 | 2.9 | 0% | 0% |
| Jodie Meeks | SG | $3900 | 16 | 20% | 11 | 2.7 | 0% | 0% |
| Steve Blake | PG | $3800 | 19 | 13% | 12 | 3.1 | 0% | 0% |
| Mike Muscala | PF | $3800 | 16 | 16% | 12 | 3.2 | 1% | 0% |
| Kent Bazemore | SG | $3700 | 23 | 15% | 16 | 4.3 | 23% | 4% |
| Alonzo Gee | SF | $3600 | 20 | 16% | 13 | 3.5 | 3% | 0% |
| Nate Robinson | PG | $3500 | 21 | 22% | 18 | 5.2 | 57% | 18% |
| Alexis Ajinca | C | $3500 | 16 | 19% | 15 | 4.3 | 26% | 5% |
| Luke Babbitt | SF | $3500 | 16 | 13% | 10 | 2.9 | 0% | 0% |