The following daily fantasy basketball projections are created using a method similar to Basketball Reference’s Simple Projection System. I have a quick walk-through of my process here. If you have any questions, please feel to ask here, via email (jengl867 AT gmail DOT com) or on Twitter (@JoshEngleman).
Quick note: when it comes to the Best Plays/Best Values, these are all of the guys that currently are in my shortlist for tonight. I’m literally listing everyone that I will potentially roster. If they aren’t listed in those two places, then I won’t be rostering them. Obviously this changes as more news comes about injuries, but this is truly how it looks right now for me.
If you are trying to up your DFS game, I highly recommend checking out Fantasy Cruncher. I couldn’t imagine building my lineup without it. The projections are excellent, the exporting capabilities are a life safer, and there are new features being added constantly. I would be shocked if it didn’t make you more profitable.
If you are looking to sign-up at DraftKings, please do so through this link.
Point Guards
| Name | Pos | Salary | MPG | USG% | DK | DK/$1K | 5X% | 6X% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul | PG | $9600 | 35 | 22% | 44 | 4.6 | 30% | 4% |
| Jeff Teague | PG | $6900 | 31 | 26% | 31 | 4.4 | 27% | 5% |
| Mike Conley | PG | $6800 | 32 | 24% | 31 | 4.6 | 32% | 7% |
| Deron Williams | PG | $6100 | 25 | 22% | 26 | 4.3 | 23% | 4% |
| George Hill | PG | $6000 | 31 | 21% | 25 | 4.1 | 18% | 3% |
| Dennis Schroder | PG | $4700 | 24 | 28% | 23 | 4.8 | 43% | 11% |
| Jose Calderon | PG | $4100 | 27 | 16% | 21 | 5.2 | 55% | 25% |
| Devin Harris | PG | $4000 | 24 | 18% | 21 | 5.1 | 55% | 22% |
| Jerian Grant | PG | $3600 | 29 | 17% | 23 | 6.5 | 88% | 64% |
| JJ Barea | PG | $3300 | 24 | 22% | 22 | 6.7 | 90% | 70% |
| Beno Udrih | PG | $3200 | 16 | 20% | 13 | 4.0 | 9% | 0% |
| Raymond Felton | PG | $3000 | 28 | 20% | 25 | 8.3 | 97% | 91% |
Best Plays (>=$5000): Chris Paul, Mike Conley
Avoid:
Best Value (<$5000): Jose Calderon, Dennis Schroder, JJ Barea, Jerian Grant, Raymond Felton
Shooting Guards
| Name | Pos | Salary | MPG | USG% | DK | DK/$1K | 5X% | 6X% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis | SG | $7100 | 33 | 25% | 29 | 4.0 | 17% | 3% |
| JJ Redick | SG | $5100 | 29 | 19% | 21 | 4.2 | 21% | 4% |
| Kyle Korver | SG | $4900 | 31 | 13% | 21 | 4.4 | 29% | 8% |
| Jamal Crawford | SG | $4500 | 21 | 25% | 19 | 4.2 | 17% | 2% |
| Langston Galloway | SG | $4200 | 27 | 19% | 22 | 5.2 | 56% | 23% |
| Courtney Lee | SG | $4200 | 30 | 15% | 19 | 4.5 | 32% | 8% |
| Rodney Stuckey | SG | $4000 | 20 | 21% | 15 | 3.8 | 13% | 2% |
| CJ Miles | SG | $3600 | 29 | 21% | 22 | 6.2 | 74% | 54% |
| Kent Bazemore | SG | $3300 | 22 | 14% | 16 | 4.7 | 41% | 13% |
| Lance Stephenson | SG | $3200 | 16 | 20% | 14 | 4.2 | 25% | 6% |
| John Jenkins | SG | $3000 | 19 | 17% | 15 | 4.9 | 48% | 18% |
| Sasha Vujacic | SG | $3000 | 24 | 16% | 19 | 6.3 | 86% | 61% |
| Austin Rivers | SG | $3000 | 16 | 17% | 12 | 3.9 | 13% | 2% |
Best Plays (>=$5000):
Avoid:
Best Value (<$5000): Langston Galloway, Courtney Lee, CJ Miles, Sasha Vujacic
Small Forwards
| Name | Pos | Salary | MPG | USG% | DK | DK/$1K | 5X% | 6X% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony | SF | $8700 | 33 | 36% | 40 | 4.7 | 33% | 4% |
| Paul George | SF | $8200 | 34 | 28% | 34 | 4.1 | 26% | 8% |
| Jeff Green | SF | $4700 | 25 | 22% | 20 | 4.2 | 19% | 2% |
| Tony Allen | SF | $4300 | 24 | 16% | 19 | 4.4 | 23% | 3% |
| Matt Barnes | SF | $4100 | 23 | 14% | 16 | 4.0 | 14% | 2% |
| Paul Pierce | SF | $4000 | 19 | 18% | 17 | 4.3 | 21% | 2% |
| Thabo Sefolosha | SF | $3000 | 18 | 14% | 12 | 4.0 | 16% | 2% |
| Jeremy Evans | SF | $3000 | 23 | 15% | 21 | 7.0 | 95% | 80% |
Best Plays (>=$5000): Paul George
Avoid:
Best Value (<$5000):
Power Forwards
| Name | Pos | Salary | MPG | USG% | DK | DK/$1K | 5X% | 6X% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Griffin | PF | $9500 | 34 | 28% | 42 | 4.4 | 23% | 2% |
| Paul Millsap | PF | $7800 | 33 | 23% | 35 | 4.5 | 28% | 4% |
| Zach Randolph | PF | $7000 | 32 | 25% | 32 | 4.6 | 34% | 7% |
| Dirk Nowitzki | PF | $6000 | 26 | 26% | 29 | 4.8 | 38% | 5% |
| Josh Smith | PF | $4900 | 16 | 24% | 17 | 3.5 | 2% | 0% |
| Kristaps Porzingis | PF | $4300 | 25 | 20% | 23 | 5.5 | 69% | 28% |
| Kyle O'Quinn | PF | $3700 | 20 | 17% | 19 | 5.1 | 54% | 21% |
| Brandan Wright | PF | $3600 | 20 | 14% | 18 | 4.9 | 45% | 13% |
| Dwight Powell | PF | $3100 | 22 | 19% | 18 | 5.9 | 78% | 48% |
Best Plays (>=$5000): Paul Millsap, Zach Randolph, Dirk Nowitzki
Avoid:
Best Value (<$5000): Kristaps Porzingis
Centers
| Name | Pos | Salary | MPG | USG% | DK | DK/$1K | 5X% | 6X% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Gasol | C | $8300 | 33 | 25% | 35 | 4.2 | 15% | 1% |
| DeAndre Jordan | C | $7700 | 34 | 12% | 34 | 4.5 | 31% | 7% |
| Al Horford | C | $7600 | 31 | 22% | 32 | 4.2 | 15% | 1% |
| Robin Lopez | C | $5200 | 28 | 15% | 22 | 4.3 | 20% | 2% |
| Zaza Pachulia | C | $5100 | 27 | 19% | 25 | 4.9 | 48% | 20% |
| Jordan Hill | C | $4500 | 24 | 20% | 21 | 4.8 | 41% | 11% |
| Tiago Splitter | C | $4400 | 23 | 17% | 20 | 4.5 | 28% | 4% |
| Ian Mahinmi | C | $3900 | 26 | 10% | 18 | 4.6 | 35% | 11% |
| Mike Muscala | C | $3000 | 16 | 16% | 13 | 4.2 | 21% | 4% |
Best Plays (>=$5000): Marc Gasol, DeAndre Jordan, Al Horford, Zaza Pachulia
Avoid:
Best Value (<$5000):
Utility
| Name | Pos | Salary | MPG | USG% | DK | DK/$1K | 5X% | 6X% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul | PG | $9600 | 35 | 22% | 44 | 4.6 | 30% | 4% |
| Blake Griffin | PF | $9500 | 34 | 28% | 42 | 4.4 | 23% | 2% |
| Carmelo Anthony | SF | $8700 | 33 | 36% | 40 | 4.7 | 33% | 4% |
| Marc Gasol | C | $8300 | 33 | 25% | 35 | 4.2 | 15% | 1% |
| Paul George | SF | $8200 | 34 | 28% | 34 | 4.1 | 26% | 8% |
| Paul Millsap | PF | $7800 | 33 | 23% | 35 | 4.5 | 28% | 4% |
| DeAndre Jordan | C | $7700 | 34 | 12% | 34 | 4.5 | 31% | 7% |
| Al Horford | C | $7600 | 31 | 22% | 32 | 4.2 | 15% | 1% |
| Monta Ellis | SG | $7100 | 33 | 25% | 29 | 4.0 | 17% | 3% |
| Zach Randolph | PF | $7000 | 32 | 25% | 32 | 4.6 | 34% | 7% |
| Jeff Teague | PG | $6900 | 31 | 26% | 31 | 4.4 | 27% | 5% |
| Mike Conley | PG | $6800 | 32 | 24% | 31 | 4.6 | 32% | 7% |
| Deron Williams | PG | $6100 | 25 | 22% | 26 | 4.3 | 23% | 4% |
| George Hill | PG | $6000 | 31 | 21% | 25 | 4.1 | 18% | 3% |
| Dirk Nowitzki | PF | $6000 | 26 | 26% | 29 | 4.8 | 38% | 5% |
| Robin Lopez | C | $5200 | 28 | 15% | 22 | 4.3 | 20% | 2% |
| JJ Redick | SG | $5100 | 29 | 19% | 21 | 4.2 | 21% | 4% |
| Zaza Pachulia | C | $5100 | 27 | 19% | 25 | 4.9 | 48% | 20% |
| Josh Smith | PF | $4900 | 16 | 24% | 17 | 3.5 | 2% | 0% |
| Kyle Korver | SG | $4900 | 31 | 13% | 21 | 4.4 | 29% | 8% |
| Dennis Schroder | PG | $4700 | 24 | 28% | 23 | 4.8 | 43% | 11% |
| Jeff Green | SF | $4700 | 25 | 22% | 20 | 4.2 | 19% | 2% |
| Jordan Hill | C | $4500 | 24 | 20% | 21 | 4.8 | 41% | 11% |
| Jamal Crawford | SG | $4500 | 21 | 25% | 19 | 4.2 | 17% | 2% |
| Tiago Splitter | C | $4400 | 23 | 17% | 20 | 4.5 | 28% | 4% |
| Kristaps Porzingis | PF | $4300 | 25 | 20% | 23 | 5.5 | 69% | 28% |
| Tony Allen | SF | $4300 | 24 | 16% | 19 | 4.4 | 23% | 3% |
| Langston Galloway | SG | $4200 | 27 | 19% | 22 | 5.2 | 56% | 23% |
| Courtney Lee | SG | $4200 | 30 | 15% | 19 | 4.5 | 32% | 8% |
| Jose Calderon | PG | $4100 | 27 | 16% | 21 | 5.2 | 55% | 25% |
| Matt Barnes | SF | $4100 | 23 | 14% | 16 | 4.0 | 14% | 2% |
| Rodney Stuckey | SG | $4000 | 20 | 21% | 15 | 3.8 | 13% | 2% |
| Devin Harris | PG | $4000 | 24 | 18% | 21 | 5.1 | 55% | 22% |
| Paul Pierce | SF | $4000 | 19 | 18% | 17 | 4.3 | 21% | 2% |
| Ian Mahinmi | C | $3900 | 26 | 10% | 18 | 4.6 | 35% | 11% |
| Kyle O'Quinn | PF | $3700 | 20 | 17% | 19 | 5.1 | 54% | 21% |
| Jerian Grant | PG | $3600 | 29 | 17% | 23 | 6.5 | 88% | 64% |
| Brandan Wright | PF | $3600 | 20 | 14% | 18 | 4.9 | 45% | 13% |
| CJ Miles | SG | $3600 | 29 | 21% | 22 | 6.2 | 74% | 54% |
| JJ Barea | PG | $3300 | 24 | 22% | 22 | 6.7 | 90% | 70% |
| Kent Bazemore | SG | $3300 | 22 | 14% | 16 | 4.7 | 41% | 13% |
| Beno Udrih | PG | $3200 | 16 | 20% | 13 | 4.0 | 9% | 0% |
| Lance Stephenson | SG | $3200 | 16 | 20% | 14 | 4.2 | 25% | 6% |
| Dwight Powell | PF | $3100 | 22 | 19% | 18 | 5.9 | 78% | 48% |
| Sasha Vujacic | SG | $3000 | 24 | 16% | 19 | 6.3 | 86% | 61% |
| Mike Muscala | C | $3000 | 16 | 16% | 13 | 4.2 | 21% | 4% |
| Raymond Felton | PG | $3000 | 28 | 20% | 25 | 8.3 | 97% | 91% |
| Thabo Sefolosha | SF | $3000 | 18 | 14% | 12 | 4.0 | 16% | 2% |
| Austin Rivers | SG | $3000 | 16 | 17% | 12 | 3.9 | 13% | 2% |
| John Jenkins | SG | $3000 | 19 | 17% | 15 | 4.9 | 48% | 18% |
| Jeremy Evans | SF | $3000 | 23 | 15% | 21 | 7.0 | 95% | 80% |