The following daily fantasy basketball projections are created using a method similar to Basketball Reference’s Simple Projection System. I have a quick walk-through of my process here. If you have any questions, please feel to ask here, via email (jengl867 AT gmail DOT com) or on Twitter (@JoshEngleman).
Quick note: when it comes to the Best Plays/Best Values, these are all of the guys that currently are in my shortlist for tonight. I’m literally listing everyone that I will potentially roster. If they aren’t listed in those two places, then I likely won’t be rostering them. Obviously this changes as more news comes about injuries, but this is truly how it looks right now for me.
If you are trying to up your DFS game, I highly recommend checking out Fantasy Cruncher. I couldn’t imagine building my lineup without it. The projections are excellent, the exporting capabilities are a life saver, and there are new features being added constantly. I would be shocked if it didn’t make you more profitable.
If you are looking to sign-up at DraftKings, please do so through this link.
Updated 3:38PM
Point Guards
| Name | Pos | Salary | MPG | USG% | DK | DK/$1K | 5X% | 6X% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | PG | $9500 | 34 | 32% | 43 | 4.6 | 29% | 3% |
| Reggie Jackson | PG | $7800 | 34 | 26% | 32 | 4.1 | 23% | 6% |
| Jeff Teague | PG | $7000 | 31 | 26% | 31 | 4.4 | 27% | 5% |
| Derrick Rose | PG | $6500 | 26 | 31% | 26 | 4.1 | 15% | 2% |
| Jrue Holiday | PG | $5100 | 20 | 22% | 20 | 4.0 | 12% | 1% |
| Mo Williams | PG | $4900 | 30 | 22% | 24 | 4.9 | 48% | 24% |
| Aaron Brooks | PG | $4400 | 22 | 24% | 18 | 4.1 | 18% | 3% |
| Dennis Schroder | PG | $4400 | 20 | 28% | 19 | 4.3 | 22% | 3% |
| Shaun Livingston | PG | $3400 | 17 | 15% | 13 | 3.7 | 5% | 0% |
| Matthew Dellavedova | PG | $3000 | 24 | 12% | 15 | 4.9 | 47% | 21% |
| Nate Robinson | PG | $3000 | 21 | 22% | 19 | 6.5 | 90% | 67% |
| Steve Blake | PG | $3000 | 19 | 13% | 13 | 4.4 | 24% | 3% |
Best Plays (>=$5000): Stephen Curry, Reggie Jackson
Avoid: Jrue Holiday
Best Value (<$5000): Mo Williams, Nate Robinson, Aaron Brooks (if any interesting news comes out about Rose)
Shooting Guards
| Name | Pos | Salary | MPG | USG% | DK | DK/$1K | 5X% | 6X% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler | SG | $7600 | 36 | 21% | 30 | 3.9 | 13% | 2% |
| Klay Thompson | SG | $7200 | 33 | 28% | 31 | 4.3 | 21% | 3% |
| Eric Gordon | SG | $5200 | 34 | 20% | 28 | 5.3 | 60% | 30% |
| Kyle Korver | SG | $4900 | 31 | 13% | 22 | 4.4 | 31% | 9% |
| JR Smith | SG | $4800 | 31 | 18% | 25 | 5.2 | 55% | 28% |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | SG | $4700 | 34 | 20% | 23 | 4.9 | 47% | 20% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr | SG | $3700 | 14 | 23% | 10 | 2.8 | 0% | 0% |
| Jodie Meeks | SG | $3000 | 16 | 20% | 11 | 3.8 | 10% | 1% |
| Kent Bazemore | SG | $3000 | 23 | 15% | 17 | 5.7 | 70% | 41% |
| Tony Snell | SG | $3000 | 24 | 13% | 14 | 4.7 | 43% | 20% |
Best Plays (>=$5000): Eric Gordon, Klay Thompson
Avoid: Jimmy Butler
Best Value (<$5000): JR Smith, Kent Bazemore, Tony Snell
Small Forwards
| Name | Pos | Salary | MPG | USG% | DK | DK/$1K | 5X% | 6X% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James | SF | $9800 | 36 | 36% | 48 | 4.9 | 47% | 11% |
| Stanley Johnson | SF | $4700 | 27 | 17% | 20 | 4.2 | 22% | 5% |
| Harrison Barnes | SF | $4600 | 28 | 15% | 20 | 4.2 | 21% | 3% |
| Marcus Morris | SF | $4500 | 27 | 19% | 21 | 4.8 | 42% | 15% |
| Andre Iguodala | SF | $4300 | 27 | 14% | 21 | 4.8 | 42% | 13% |
| Dante Cunningham | SF | $3000 | 24 | 10% | 16 | 5.3 | 58% | 29% |
| Alonzo Gee | SF | $3000 | 20 | 16% | 14 | 4.5 | 30% | 6% |
| Richard Jefferson | SF | $3000 | 11 | 14% | 7 | 2.3 | 0% | 0% |
| Luke Babbitt | SF | $3000 | 16 | 13% | 11 | 3.7 | 8% | 1% |
| Thabo Sefolosha | SF | $3000 | 16 | 14% | 11 | 3.6 | 5% | 0% |
| Doug McDermott | SF | $3000 | 20 | 17% | 13 | 4.2 | 22% | 4% |
Best Plays (>=$5000): LeBron James
Avoid:
Best Value (<$5000): Marcus Morris,
Power Forwards
| Name | Pos | Salary | MPG | USG% | DK | DK/$1K | 5X% | 6X% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis | PF | $10400 | 36 | 29% | 48 | 4.6 | 36% | 9% |
| Pau Gasol | PF | $8000 | 31 | 24% | 33 | 4.2 | 14% | 1% |
| Paul Millsap | PF | $7700 | 33 | 23% | 35 | 4.6 | 32% | 6% |
| Kevin Love | PF | $7500 | 33 | 21% | 36 | 4.8 | 43% | 10% |
| Draymond Green | PF | $6900 | 31 | 18% | 30 | 4.3 | 24% | 5% |
| Nikola Mirotic | PF | $6400 | 30 | 21% | 29 | 4.6 | 36% | 12% |
| Ersan Ilyasova | PF | $5700 | 26 | 23% | 24 | 4.1 | 19% | 3% |
| Ryan Anderson | PF | $5000 | 32 | 23% | 30 | 5.9 | 75% | 49% |
| Tristan Thompson | PF | $4600 | 24 | 12% | 18 | 4.0 | 16% | 2% |
| Taj Gibson | PF | $3900 | 15 | 16% | 13 | 3.2 | 1% | 0% |
| Jason Thompson | PF | $3000 | 17 | 13% | 12 | 4.1 | 21% | 4% |
Best Plays (>=$5000): Anthony Davis, Paul Millsap, Nikola Mirotic, Ersan Ilyasova, Ryan Anderson
Avoid: Kevin Love
Best Value (<$5000):
Centers
| Name | Pos | Salary | MPG | USG% | DK | DK/$1K | 5X% | 6X% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Drummond | C | $8200 | 34 | 23% | 39 | 4.8 | 41% | 12% |
| Al Horford | C | $7300 | 31 | 22% | 32 | 4.4 | 24% | 3% |
| Joakim Noah | C | $6000 | 26 | 12% | 25 | 4.2 | 17% | 2% |
| Andrew Bogut | C | $5000 | 24 | 12% | 23 | 4.5 | 29% | 5% |
| Timofey Mozgov | C | $4600 | 24 | 16% | 20 | 4.3 | 24% | 4% |
| Tiago Splitter | C | $4500 | 23 | 17% | 20 | 4.5 | 27% | 4% |
| Alexis Ajinca | C | $3500 | 16 | 19% | 16 | 4.6 | 34% | 9% |
| Anderson Varejao | C | $3400 | 15 | 17% | 14 | 4.1 | 9% | 0% |
| Marreese Speights | C | $3000 | 12 | 30% | 12 | 4.2 | 14% | 1% |
| Kendrick Perkins | C | $3000 | 13 | 15% | 9 | 2.9 | 0% | 0% |
| Mike Muscala | C | $3000 | 16 | 16% | 13 | 4.3 | 24% | 4% |
| Aron Baynes | C | $3000 | 15 | 17% | 12 | 4.0 | 14% | 1% |
Best Plays (>=$5000): Al Horford
Avoid: Andre Drummond
Best Value (<$5000):
Utility
| Name | Pos | Salary | MPG | USG% | DK | DK/$1K | 5X% | 6X% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis | PF | $10400 | 36 | 29% | 48 | 4.6 | 36% | 9% |
| LeBron James | SF | $9800 | 36 | 36% | 48 | 4.9 | 47% | 11% |
| Stephen Curry | PG | $9500 | 34 | 32% | 43 | 4.6 | 29% | 3% |
| Andre Drummond | C | $8200 | 34 | 23% | 39 | 4.8 | 41% | 12% |
| Pau Gasol | PF | $8000 | 31 | 24% | 33 | 4.2 | 14% | 1% |
| Reggie Jackson | PG | $7800 | 34 | 26% | 32 | 4.1 | 23% | 6% |
| Paul Millsap | PF | $7700 | 33 | 23% | 35 | 4.6 | 32% | 6% |
| Jimmy Butler | SG | $7600 | 36 | 21% | 30 | 3.9 | 13% | 2% |
| Kevin Love | PF | $7500 | 33 | 21% | 36 | 4.8 | 43% | 10% |
| Al Horford | C | $7300 | 31 | 22% | 32 | 4.4 | 24% | 3% |
| Klay Thompson | SG | $7200 | 33 | 28% | 31 | 4.3 | 21% | 3% |
| Jeff Teague | PG | $7000 | 31 | 26% | 31 | 4.4 | 27% | 5% |
| Draymond Green | PF | $6900 | 31 | 18% | 30 | 4.3 | 24% | 5% |
| Derrick Rose | PG | $6500 | 26 | 31% | 26 | 4.1 | 15% | 2% |
| Nikola Mirotic | PF | $6400 | 30 | 21% | 29 | 4.6 | 36% | 12% |
| Joakim Noah | C | $6000 | 26 | 12% | 25 | 4.2 | 17% | 2% |
| Ersan Ilyasova | PF | $5700 | 26 | 23% | 24 | 4.1 | 19% | 3% |
| Eric Gordon | SG | $5200 | 34 | 20% | 28 | 5.3 | 60% | 30% |
| Jrue Holiday | PG | $5100 | 20 | 22% | 20 | 4.0 | 12% | 1% |
| Andrew Bogut | C | $5000 | 24 | 12% | 23 | 4.5 | 29% | 5% |
| Ryan Anderson | PF | $5000 | 32 | 23% | 30 | 5.9 | 75% | 49% |
| Mo Williams | PG | $4900 | 30 | 22% | 24 | 4.9 | 48% | 24% |
| Kyle Korver | SG | $4900 | 31 | 13% | 22 | 4.4 | 31% | 9% |
| JR Smith | SG | $4800 | 31 | 18% | 25 | 5.2 | 55% | 28% |
| Stanley Johnson | SF | $4700 | 27 | 17% | 20 | 4.2 | 22% | 5% |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | SG | $4700 | 34 | 20% | 23 | 4.9 | 47% | 20% |
| Harrison Barnes | SF | $4600 | 28 | 15% | 20 | 4.2 | 21% | 3% |
| Tristan Thompson | PF | $4600 | 24 | 12% | 18 | 4.0 | 16% | 2% |
| Timofey Mozgov | C | $4600 | 24 | 16% | 20 | 4.3 | 24% | 4% |
| Marcus Morris | SF | $4500 | 27 | 19% | 21 | 4.8 | 42% | 15% |
| Tiago Splitter | C | $4500 | 23 | 17% | 20 | 4.5 | 27% | 4% |
| Dennis Schroder | PG | $4400 | 20 | 28% | 19 | 4.3 | 22% | 3% |
| Aaron Brooks | PG | $4400 | 22 | 24% | 18 | 4.1 | 18% | 3% |
| Andre Iguodala | SF | $4300 | 27 | 14% | 21 | 4.8 | 42% | 13% |
| Taj Gibson | PF | $3900 | 15 | 16% | 13 | 3.2 | 1% | 0% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr | SG | $3700 | 14 | 23% | 10 | 2.8 | 0% | 0% |
| Alexis Ajinca | C | $3500 | 16 | 19% | 16 | 4.6 | 34% | 9% |
| Anderson Varejao | C | $3400 | 15 | 17% | 14 | 4.1 | 9% | 0% |
| Shaun Livingston | PG | $3400 | 17 | 15% | 13 | 3.7 | 5% | 0% |
| Luke Babbitt | SF | $3000 | 16 | 13% | 11 | 3.7 | 8% | 1% |
| Richard Jefferson | SF | $3000 | 11 | 14% | 7 | 2.3 | 0% | 0% |
| Matthew Dellavedova | PG | $3000 | 24 | 12% | 15 | 4.9 | 47% | 21% |
| Kendrick Perkins | C | $3000 | 13 | 15% | 9 | 2.9 | 0% | 0% |
| Alonzo Gee | SF | $3000 | 20 | 16% | 14 | 4.5 | 30% | 6% |
| Mike Muscala | C | $3000 | 16 | 16% | 13 | 4.3 | 24% | 4% |
| Tony Snell | SG | $3000 | 24 | 13% | 14 | 4.7 | 43% | 20% |
| Thabo Sefolosha | SF | $3000 | 16 | 14% | 11 | 3.6 | 5% | 0% |
| Doug McDermott | SF | $3000 | 20 | 17% | 13 | 4.2 | 22% | 4% |
| Steve Blake | PG | $3000 | 19 | 13% | 13 | 4.4 | 24% | 3% |
| Dante Cunningham | SF | $3000 | 24 | 10% | 16 | 5.3 | 58% | 29% |
| Jodie Meeks | SG | $3000 | 16 | 20% | 11 | 3.8 | 10% | 1% |
| Nate Robinson | PG | $3000 | 21 | 22% | 19 | 6.5 | 90% | 67% |
| Jason Thompson | PF | $3000 | 17 | 13% | 12 | 4.1 | 21% | 4% |
| Aron Baynes | C | $3000 | 15 | 17% | 12 | 4.0 | 14% | 1% |
| Marreese Speights | C | $3000 | 12 | 30% | 12 | 4.2 | 14% | 1% |
| Kent Bazemore | SG | $3000 | 23 | 15% | 17 | 5.7 | 70% | 41% |