JoshEngleman.com

November 5, 2015 at 8:57 am

DraftKings Daily Fantasy Basketball Projections – November 5, 2015

The following daily fantasy basketball projections are created using a method similar to Basketball Reference’s Simple Projection System. I have a quick walk-through of my process here. If you have any questions, please feel to ask here, via email (jengl867 AT gmail DOT com) or on Twitter (@JoshEngleman).

Quick note: when it comes to the Best Plays/Best Values, these are all of the guys that currently are in my shortlist for tonight. I’m literally listing everyone that I will potentially roster. If they aren’t listed in those two places, then I won’t be rostering them. Obviously this changes as more news comes about injuries, but this is truly how it looks right now for me.

If you are trying to up your DFS game, I highly recommend checking out Fantasy Cruncher. I couldn’t imagine building my lineup without it. The projections are excellent, the exporting capabilities are a life safer, and there are new features being added constantly. I would be shocked if it didn’t make you more profitable.
 
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If you are looking to sign-up at DraftKings, please do so through this link.
 
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Point Guards

Name Pos Salary MPG USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
Russell Westbrook PG $10400 35 37% 52 5.0 51% 17%
Damian Lillard PG $8700 36 33% 42 4.8 28% 4%
Ricky Rubio PG $7300 32 20% 32 4.4 27% 5%
Kemba Walker PG $6600 35 27% 37 5.5 45% 18%
Mike Conley PG $6600 30 23% 30 4.6 27% 5%
CJ McCollum PG $6500 33 23% 29 4.4 39% 15%
Emmanuel Mudiay PG $6200 31 25% 28 4.6 15% 1%
Goran Dragic PG $5900 33 19% 29 4.9 41% 13%
Derrick Rose PG $5800 31 25% 31 5.3 56% 28%
Deron Williams PG $5700 31 21% 31 5.4 58% 27%
Jeremy Lin PG $4500 25 23% 23 5.1 56% 24%
Trey Burke PG $4300 23 24% 20 4.6 32% 8%
Aaron Brooks PG $4000 18 25% 17 4.2 12% 1%
Jameer Nelson PG $4000 23 20% 20 5.0 35% 9%
Devin Harris PG $3800 23 17% 19 5.0 41% 13%
Zach LaVine PG $3800 18 22% 15 4.0 17% 4%
Raymond Felton PG $3700 25 19% 21 5.7 61% 28%
JJ Barea PG $3600 22 21% 20 5.4 71% 36%
Mario Chalmers PG $3300 20 16% 15 4.5 25% 8%
DJ Augustin PG $3200 15 16% 13 3.9 10% 2%
Raul Neto PG $3100 20 16% 15 4.9 40% 11%
Beno Udrih PG $3000 16 20% 13 4.5 30% 4%
Randy Foye PG $3000 18 19% 13 4.4 20% 6%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): Russell Westbrook, Kemba Walker, CJ McCollum, Goran Dragic, Deron Williams
Best Value (<$5000): ?
 

Shooting Guards

Name Pos Salary MPG USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
Jimmy Butler SG $7700 35 22% 33 4.2 29% 6%
Dwyane Wade SG $6900 31 34% 34 4.9 38% 9%
Kevin Martin SG $5000 28 27% 24 4.7 42% 17%
Alec Burks SG $4600 27 22% 22 4.7 39% 8%
Will Barton SG $4200 22 20% 18 4.3 30% 7%
Courtney Lee SG $4200 30 15% 20 4.7 37% 10%
Wesley Matthews SG $4100 26 19% 20 5.0 56% 24%
Jeremy Lamb SG $4000 18 20% 15 3.9 15% 2%
Gary Harris SG $3300 24 16% 15 4.4 24% 5%
Dion Waiters SG $3300 24 19% 20 5.9 61% 36%
Tony Snell SG $3100 25 13% 16 5.3 51% 28%
Andre Roberson SG $3100 20 8% 13 4.2 8% 1%
Tyler Johnson SG $3000 20 13% 15 4.8 46% 24%
Allen Crabbe SG $3000 23 13% 15 4.9 39% 10%
Joe Ingles SG $3000 15 12% 10 3.2 1% 0%
Anthony Morrow SG $3000 15 14% 11 3.5 3% 0%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): Jimmy Butler, Kevin Martin
Best Value (<$5000): Wesley Matthews, Dion Waiters
 

Small Forwards

Name Pos Salary MPG USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
Kevin Durant SF $9200 36 26% 48 5.2 44% 12%
Nicolas Batum SF $6800 35 19% 34 5.0 47% 15%
Gordon Hayward SF $6600 34 27% 33 4.9 50% 19%
Danilo Gallinari SF $6300 34 22% 30 4.8 38% 15%
Andrew Wiggins SF $6000 37 23% 29 4.8 45% 20%
Al-Farouq Aminu SF $5600 31 17% 27 4.9 46% 18%
Rodney Hood SF $4800 28 20% 22 4.7 51% 20%
Luol Deng SF $4700 31 17% 23 5.0 47% 20%
Chandler Parsons SF $4500 16 20% 14 3.0 0% 0%
Tony Allen SF $4200 22 16% 18 4.3 19% 2%
Jeff Green SF $4100 23 21% 19 4.6 17% 2%
Matt Barnes SF $3700 22 15% 16 4.4 17% 3%
Justise Winslow SF $3500 25 13% 17 4.8 44% 15%
Shabazz Muhammad SF $3300 19 24% 16 5.0 40% 17%
Doug McDermott SF $3300 20 18% 15 4.6 27% 6%
Maurice Harkless SF $3100 22 15% 16 5.2 38% 14%
PJ Hairston SF $3000 18 19% 13 4.2 15% 2%

 
SF is absolutely loaded tonight in the $6K range. Good luck figuring out the right combination.
 
Best Plays (>=$5000): Kevin Durant, Nicolas Batum, Gordon Hayward, Danilo Gallinari, Andrew Wiggins
Best Value (<$5000): Maurice Harkless
 

Power Forwards

Name Pos Salary MPG USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
Derrick Favors PF $7200 31 25% 33 4.6 60% 21%
Chris Bosh PF $7100 35 26% 32 4.5 30% 6%
Pau Gasol PF $7000 31 24% 37 5.3 58% 21%
Nikola Mirotic PF $6700 30 22% 33 4.9 43% 17%
Serge Ibaka PF $6500 32 16% 32 4.9 48% 16%
Zach Randolph PF $6500 32 25% 34 5.2 34% 9%
Dirk Nowitzki PF $6500 28 24% 29 4.5 24% 2%
Kenneth Faried PF $6400 29 20% 29 4.5 31% 8%
Marvin Williams PF $5000 31 13% 24 4.7 48% 16%
Ed Davis PF $4300 22 16% 22 5.1 44% 11%
Dwight Powell PF $3900 24 18% 20 5.2 56% 24%
Nemanja Bjelica PF $3700 22 14% 19 5.1 42% 7%
Taj Gibson PF $3600 19 16% 18 5.0 36% 10%
JaMychal Green PF $3500 15 18% 14 4.0 8% 0%
Cody Zeller PF $3500 23 15% 19 5.5 71% 37%
Kevin Garnett PF $3400 18 16% 18 5.3 42% 11%
Darrell Arthur PF $3100 20 19% 16 5.1 33% 9%
Noah Vonleh PF $3000 15 17% 13 4.5 14% 2%
Trevor Booker PF $3000 18 17% 15 4.9 61% 31%
Brandan Wright PF $3000 16 14% 15 4.9 32% 7%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): Derrick Favors, Pau Gasol, Serge Ibaka, Marvin Williams
Best Value (<$5000): Dwight Powell
 

Centers

Name Pos Salary MPG USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
Hassan Whiteside C $7400 28 18% 32 4.4 44% 16%
Marc Gasol C $7200 32 25% 35 4.9 42% 10%
Rudy Gobert C $7000 32 13% 33 4.7 45% 17%
Al Jefferson C $6700 30 26% 35 5.2 36% 8%
Karl-Anthony Towns C $6700 31 20% 28 4.2 28% 7%
Enes Kanter C $5400 23 22% 24 4.4 29% 7%
Zaza Pachulia C $5300 27 18% 24 4.6 37% 12%
Mason Plumlee C $4900 30 21% 30 6.1 63% 37%
Joakim Noah C $4600 18 12% 19 4.2 6% 0%
Gorgui Dieng C $4600 20 14% 18 3.8 14% 1%
Joffrey Lauvergne C $4500 22 18% 20 4.4 11% 1%
Meyers Leonard C $4000 25 17% 21 5.4 60% 31%
Steven Adams C $3800 23 12% 19 5.0 45% 18%
Spencer Hawes C $3200 19 17% 17 5.4 38% 10%
Nikola Jokic C $3000 16 18% 13 4.4 24% 4%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): Hassan Whiteside, Rudy Gobert
Best Value (<$5000): Mason Plumlee, Steven Adams
 

Utility

Name Pos Salary MPG USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
Russell Westbrook PG $10400 35 37% 52 5.0 51% 17%
Kevin Durant SF $9200 36 26% 48 5.2 44% 12%
Damian Lillard PG $8700 36 33% 42 4.8 28% 4%
Jimmy Butler SG $7700 35 22% 33 4.2 29% 6%
Hassan Whiteside C $7400 28 18% 32 4.4 44% 16%
Ricky Rubio PG $7300 32 20% 32 4.4 27% 5%
Marc Gasol C $7200 32 25% 35 4.9 42% 10%
Derrick Favors PF $7200 31 25% 33 4.6 60% 21%
Chris Bosh PF $7100 35 26% 32 4.5 30% 6%
Rudy Gobert C $7000 32 13% 33 4.7 45% 17%
Pau Gasol PF $7000 31 24% 37 5.3 58% 21%
Dwyane Wade SG $6900 31 34% 34 4.9 38% 9%
Nicolas Batum SF $6800 35 19% 34 5.0 47% 15%
Karl-Anthony Towns C $6700 31 20% 28 4.2 28% 7%
Al Jefferson C $6700 30 26% 35 5.2 36% 8%
Nikola Mirotic PF $6700 30 22% 33 4.9 43% 17%
Kemba Walker PG $6600 35 27% 37 5.5 45% 18%
Gordon Hayward SF $6600 34 27% 33 4.9 50% 19%
Mike Conley PG $6600 30 23% 30 4.6 27% 5%
Dirk Nowitzki PF $6500 28 24% 29 4.5 24% 2%
Serge Ibaka PF $6500 32 16% 32 4.9 48% 16%
CJ McCollum PG $6500 33 23% 29 4.4 39% 15%
Zach Randolph PF $6500 32 25% 34 5.2 34% 9%
Kenneth Faried PF $6400 29 20% 29 4.5 31% 8%
Danilo Gallinari SF $6300 34 22% 30 4.8 38% 15%
Emmanuel Mudiay PG $6200 31 25% 28 4.6 15% 1%
Andrew Wiggins SF $6000 37 23% 29 4.8 45% 20%
Goran Dragic PG $5900 33 19% 29 4.9 41% 13%
Derrick Rose PG $5800 31 25% 31 5.3 56% 28%
Deron Williams PG $5700 31 21% 31 5.4 58% 27%
Al-Farouq Aminu SF $5600 31 17% 27 4.9 46% 18%
Enes Kanter C $5400 23 22% 24 4.4 29% 7%
Zaza Pachulia C $5300 27 18% 24 4.6 37% 12%
Marvin Williams PF $5000 31 13% 24 4.7 48% 16%
Kevin Martin SG $5000 28 27% 24 4.7 42% 17%
Mason Plumlee C $4900 30 21% 30 6.1 63% 37%
Rodney Hood SF $4800 28 20% 22 4.7 51% 20%
Luol Deng SF $4700 31 17% 23 5.0 47% 20%
Joakim Noah C $4600 18 12% 19 4.2 6% 0%
Gorgui Dieng C $4600 20 14% 18 3.8 14% 1%
Alec Burks SG $4600 27 22% 22 4.7 39% 8%
Joffrey Lauvergne C $4500 22 18% 20 4.4 11% 1%
Chandler Parsons SF $4500 16 20% 14 3.0 0% 0%
Jeremy Lin PG $4500 25 23% 23 5.1 56% 24%
Ed Davis PF $4300 22 16% 22 5.1 44% 11%
Trey Burke PG $4300 23 24% 20 4.6 32% 8%
Will Barton SG $4200 22 20% 18 4.3 30% 7%
Tony Allen SF $4200 22 16% 18 4.3 19% 2%
Courtney Lee SG $4200 30 15% 20 4.7 37% 10%
Wesley Matthews SG $4100 26 19% 20 5.0 56% 24%
Jeff Green SF $4100 23 21% 19 4.6 17% 2%
Jameer Nelson PG $4000 23 20% 20 5.0 35% 9%
Meyers Leonard C $4000 25 17% 21 5.4 60% 31%
Aaron Brooks PG $4000 18 25% 17 4.2 12% 1%
Jeremy Lamb SG $4000 18 20% 15 3.9 15% 2%
Dwight Powell PF $3900 24 18% 20 5.2 56% 24%
Devin Harris PG $3800 23 17% 19 5.0 41% 13%
Steven Adams C $3800 23 12% 19 5.0 45% 18%
Zach LaVine PG $3800 18 22% 15 4.0 17% 4%
Nemanja Bjelica PF $3700 22 14% 19 5.1 42% 7%
Matt Barnes SF $3700 22 15% 16 4.4 17% 3%
Raymond Felton PG $3700 25 19% 21 5.7 61% 28%
Taj Gibson PF $3600 19 16% 18 5.0 36% 10%
JJ Barea PG $3600 22 21% 20 5.4 71% 36%
Justise Winslow SF $3500 25 13% 17 4.8 44% 15%
JaMychal Green PF $3500 15 18% 14 4.0 8% 0%
Cody Zeller PF $3500 23 15% 19 5.5 71% 37%
Kevin Garnett PF $3400 18 16% 18 5.3 42% 11%
Gary Harris SG $3300 24 16% 15 4.4 24% 5%
Shabazz Muhammad SF $3300 19 24% 16 5.0 40% 17%
Doug McDermott SF $3300 20 18% 15 4.6 27% 6%
Mario Chalmers PG $3300 20 16% 15 4.5 25% 8%
Dion Waiters SG $3300 24 19% 20 5.9 61% 36%
DJ Augustin PG $3200 15 16% 13 3.9 10% 2%
Spencer Hawes C $3200 19 17% 17 5.4 38% 10%
Andre Roberson SG $3100 20 8% 13 4.2 8% 1%
Darrell Arthur PF $3100 20 19% 16 5.1 33% 9%
Raul Neto PG $3100 20 16% 15 4.9 40% 11%
Maurice Harkless SF $3100 22 15% 16 5.2 38% 14%
Tony Snell SG $3100 25 13% 16 5.3 51% 28%
Allen Crabbe SG $3000 23 13% 15 4.9 39% 10%
Randy Foye PG $3000 18 19% 13 4.4 20% 6%
Tyler Johnson SG $3000 20 13% 15 4.8 46% 24%
Nikola Jokic C $3000 16 18% 13 4.4 24% 4%
Joe Ingles SG $3000 15 12% 10 3.2 1% 0%
Noah Vonleh PF $3000 15 17% 13 4.5 14% 2%
Anthony Morrow SG $3000 15 14% 11 3.5 3% 0%
PJ Hairston SF $3000 18 19% 13 4.2 15% 2%
Trevor Booker PF $3000 18 17% 15 4.9 61% 31%
Beno Udrih PG $3000 16 20% 13 4.5 30% 4%
Brandan Wright PF $3000 16 14% 15 4.9 32% 7%
 

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