JoshEngleman.com

November 2, 2015 at 9:59 am

DraftKings Daily Fantasy Basketball Projections – November 2, 2015

The following daily fantasy basketball projections are created using a method similar to Basketball Reference’s Simple Projection System. I have a quick walk-through of my process here. If you have any questions, please feel to ask here, via email (jengl867 AT gmail DOT com) or on Twitter (@JoshEngleman).

Quick note: when it comes to the Best Plays/Best Values, these are all of the guys that currently are in my shortlist for tonight. I’m literally listing everyone that I will potentially roster. If they aren’t listed in those two places, then I won’t be rostering them. Obviously this changes as more news comes about injuries, but this is truly how it looks right now for me.

If you are trying to up your DFS game, I highly recommend checking out Fantasy Cruncher. I couldn’t imagine building my lineup without it. The projections are excellent, the exporting capabilities are a life safer, and there are new features being added constantly. I would be shocked if it didn’t make you more profitable.
 
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If you are looking to sign-up at DraftKings, please do so through this link.
 
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Point Guards

Name Pos Salary MPG USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
Russell Westbrook PG $10300 35 37% 53 5.2 43% 13%
Stephen Curry PG $10200 32 32% 43 4.3 21% 1%
Chris Paul PG $9700 35 22% 45 4.6 29% 4%
Damian Lillard PG $9200 36 33% 43 4.6 20% 2%
Ricky Rubio PG $7100 32 20% 33 4.6 42% 12%
Mike Conley PG $6800 32 24% 32 4.8 29% 6%
CJ McCollum PG $6700 33 23% 29 4.3 38% 13%
Michael Carter-Williams PG $6700 34 26% 36 5.4 59% 28%
Brandon Knight PG $6600 34 27% 36 5.4 37% 11%
Jarrett Jack PG $6000 33 23% 28 4.7 37% 12%
Ty Lawson PG $5700 33 19% 35 6.1 66% 38%
Mo Williams PG $5300 34 24% 30 5.6 73% 51%
Isaiah Canaan PG $5000 33 24% 29 5.9 66% 41%
Tony Parker PG $4800 26 22% 24 5.0 35% 12%
Zach LaVine PG $4700 20 22% 18 3.7 12% 2%
Patrick Beverley PG $4100 22 16% 18 4.4 16% 2%
Jose Calderon PG $4000 20 16% 17 4.2 9% 1%
Jerian Grant PG $3700 26 16% 22 5.9 69% 35%
Greivis Vasquez PG $3700 18 19% 16 4.3 17% 2%
Beno Udrih PG $3300 16 20% 13 4.1 9% 0%
Shaun Livingston PG $3300 17 14% 13 3.8 4% 0%
Patty Mills PG $3200 20 19% 18 5.5 77% 37%
Jerryd Bayless PG $3200 28 17% 22 6.9 85% 65%
Matthew Dellavedova PG $3200 21 12% 14 4.3 41% 14%
DJ Augustin PG $3100 15 16% 13 4.2 14% 3%
TJ McConnell PG $3000 22 18% 18 5.9 81% 47%
 
I still need to take a closer look at Westbrook/Curry/CP3/Lillard. It’s too early in the day to make any decisions on that crew. Same thing goes Durant/Blake. There’s so much talent going tonight that I need to take a closer look.

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): CJ McCollum, Michael Carter-Williams, Ty Lawson, Mo Williams, Isaiah Canaan
Best Value (<$5000): Jerian Grant, Patty Mills, Jerryd Bayless
 

Shooting Guards

Name Pos Salary MPG USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
James Harden SG $9900 37 32% 51 5.1 49% 17%
Eric Bledsoe SG $7500 36 25% 40 5.3 35% 11%
Klay Thompson SG $6900 31 28% 30 4.4 34% 7%
Khris Middleton SG $5600 36 19% 29 5.2 61% 33%
JJ Redick SG $5200 29 18% 22 4.2 25% 5%
Kevin Martin SG $5000 25 27% 22 4.4 30% 9%
JR Smith SG $4700 32 18% 27 5.7 57% 32%
Danny Green SG $4500 28 15% 23 5.1 44% 19%
Jamal Crawford SG $4400 18 25% 17 3.8 3% 0%
Langston Galloway SG $4400 26 19% 22 5.1 33% 9%
Manu Ginobili SG $4200 21 21% 22 5.2 46% 15%
Courtney Lee SG $4200 30 15% 20 4.7 33% 9%
Dion Waiters SG $3800 24 19% 20 5.3 48% 22%
Hollis Thompson SG $3700 29 18% 20 5.4 65% 35%
Sasha Vujacic SG $3500 25 16% 20 5.8 69% 40%
Nik Stauskas SG $3300 22 15% 14 4.3 40% 11%
Lance Stephenson SG $3300 18 20% 16 4.7 35% 12%
Anthony Morrow SG $3000 20 14% 14 4.8 46% 20%
Austin Rivers SG $3000 16 17% 12 4.0 14% 2%
Andre Roberson SG $3000 18 8% 12 4.1 7% 1%
Allen Crabbe SG $3000 26 13% 17 5.8 64% 30%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): James Harden, Khris Middleton
Best Value (<$5000): JR Smith, Danny Green, Hollis Thompson, Sasha Vujacic
 

Small Forwards

Name Pos Salary MPG USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
Kevin Durant SF $9700 36 26% 49 5.0 38% 8%
LeBron James SF $9700 35 33% 47 4.8 40% 9%
Carmelo Anthony SF $8900 34 36% 45 5.0 20% 2%
Kawhi Leonard SF $7700 32 22% 32 4.2 27% 5%
Giannis Antetokounmpo SF $6400 34 20% 30 4.7 37% 10%
Andrew Wiggins SF $6200 36 23% 30 4.8 42% 18%
Trevor Ariza SF $5600 35 15% 30 5.3 43% 16%
Robert Covington SF $5500 21 25% 20 3.7 4% 0%
Harrison Barnes SF $4900 28 15% 20 4.1 21% 3%
Joe Johnson SF $4900 32 19% 26 5.2 50% 24%
Al-Farouq Aminu SF $4800 30 17% 27 5.6 76% 49%
Jeff Green SF $4700 26 21% 22 4.6 21% 3%
Andre Iguodala SF $4400 27 13% 21 4.8 26% 5%
PJ Tucker SF $4300 25 13% 19 4.4 22% 4%
Tony Allen SF $4300 24 16% 20 4.6 27% 4%
Corey Brewer SF $4300 24 21% 20 4.7 40% 13%
Matt Barnes SF $3900 20 14% 15 3.8 4% 0%
Bojan Bogdanovic SF $3900 29 17% 19 4.8 49% 24%
Jerami Grant SF $3800 24 18% 18 4.8 45% 14%
Paul Pierce SF $3800 22 17% 21 5.4 34% 9%
Shabazz Muhammad SF $3500 20 24% 18 5.1 56% 30%
TJ Warren SF $3400 26 18% 20 6.0 67% 39%
Derrick Williams SF $3200 15 20% 12 3.7 11% 1%
JaKarr Sampson SF $3200 16 19% 12 3.8 9% 1%
Maurice Harkless SF $3100 22 15% 16 5.2 50% 20%
Richard Jefferson SF $3000 18 14% 11 3.8 11% 1%
Kyle Anderson SF $3000 16 12% 11 3.8 5% 0%
Lance Thomas SF $3000 18 17% 12 3.9 8% 1%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): Andrew Wiggins
Best Value (<$5000): Joe Johnson, Al-Farouq Aminu, Bojan Bogdanovic
 

Power Forwards

Name Pos Salary MPG USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
Blake Griffin PF $9800 34 28% 43 4.4 18% 2%
Greg Monroe PF $7900 35 23% 38 4.9 53% 16%
Kevin Love PF $7500 33 23% 40 5.4 52% 16%
LaMarcus Aldridge PF $7300 32 28% 38 5.1 48% 15%
Draymond Green PF $7000 30 18% 30 4.3 33% 8%
Zach Randolph PF $7000 32 25% 34 4.8 30% 6%
Nerlens Noel PF $6900 34 19% 33 4.8 54% 22%
Markieff Morris PF $6300 32 25% 32 5.1 45% 14%
Serge Ibaka PF $6200 32 16% 32 5.2 61% 28%
Terrence Jones PF $6100 26 18% 26 4.3 33% 8%
Tim Duncan PF $6000 27 19% 31 5.2 60% 21%
Thaddeus Young PF $5500 33 21% 30 5.4 59% 24%
Ed Davis PF $5000 24 16% 25 4.9 40% 9%
Kristaps Porzingis PF $4600 25 20% 24 5.2 36% 8%
Josh Smith PF $4600 16 24% 18 3.9 6% 0%
Tristan Thompson PF $4500 24 12% 19 4.3 24% 5%
Clint Capela PF $4200 18 17% 19 4.5 26% 3%
Kyle O'Quinn PF $3900 20 17% 20 5.2 44% 14%
Nemanja Bjelica PF $3700 22 15% 20 5.4 55% 16%
Boris Diaw PF $3500 15 16% 12 3.4 6% 0%
Kevin Garnett PF $3500 18 16% 19 5.3 40% 10%
David West PF $3400 15 18% 14 4.2 14% 1%
Brandan Wright PF $3400 16 14% 15 4.3 12% 1%
Johnny O'Bryant PF $3100 22 17% 16 5.0 23% 3%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): Greg Monroe, Kevin Love, LaMarcus Aldridge, Nerlens Noel, Markieff Morris, Serge Ibaka, Tim Duncan, Thaddeus Young
Best Value (<$5000):
 

Centers

Name Pos Salary MPG USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
DeAndre Jordan C $8000 34 12% 36 4.5 30% 7%
Marc Gasol C $8000 32 25% 35 4.4 17% 2%
Brook Lopez C $7000 32 26% 35 5.0 44% 16%
Dwight Howard C $7000 25 22% 31 4.5 32% 7%
Enes Kanter C $6100 25 22% 26 4.3 28% 7%
Jahlil Okafor C $6100 33 23% 27 4.5 41% 11%
Karl-Anthony Towns C $6100 31 20% 29 4.8 40% 14%
Tyson Chandler C $5600 29 12% 27 4.8 42% 13%
Mason Plumlee C $5400 30 21% 31 5.7 63% 35%
Robin Lopez C $5200 30 15% 26 4.9 35% 7%
Andrew Bogut C $5000 24 12% 23 4.6 46% 11%
Gorgui Dieng C $4900 23 14% 22 4.4 19% 3%
Meyers Leonard C $4500 30 17% 26 5.9 72% 45%
Timofey Mozgov C $4200 23 16% 20 4.8 55% 21%
Steven Adams C $4200 26 12% 22 5.3 58% 29%
Andrea Bargnani C $4000 20 24% 17 4.4 27% 8%
Alex Len C $3500 19 14% 17 4.7 24% 5%
Festus Ezeli C $3400 20 17% 17 5.0 44% 11%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): Brook Lopez, Karl-Anthony Towns, Mason Plumlee, Andrew Bogut
Best Value (<$5000): Meyers Leonard, Steven Adams, Timofey Mozgov
 

Utility

Name Pos Salary MPG USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
Russell Westbrook PG $10300 35 37% 53 5.2 43% 13%
Stephen Curry PG $10200 32 32% 43 4.3 21% 1%
James Harden SG $9900 37 32% 51 5.1 49% 17%
Blake Griffin PF $9800 34 28% 43 4.4 18% 2%
LeBron James SF $9700 35 33% 47 4.8 40% 9%
Kevin Durant SF $9700 36 26% 49 5.0 38% 8%
Chris Paul PG $9700 35 22% 45 4.6 29% 4%
Damian Lillard PG $9200 36 33% 43 4.6 20% 2%
Carmelo Anthony SF $8900 34 36% 45 5.0 20% 2%
DeAndre Jordan C $8000 34 12% 36 4.5 30% 7%
Marc Gasol C $8000 32 25% 35 4.4 17% 2%
Greg Monroe PF $7900 35 23% 38 4.9 53% 16%
Kawhi Leonard SF $7700 32 22% 32 4.2 27% 5%
Eric Bledsoe SG $7500 36 25% 40 5.3 35% 11%
Kevin Love PF $7500 33 23% 40 5.4 52% 16%
LaMarcus Aldridge PF $7300 32 28% 38 5.1 48% 15%
Ricky Rubio PG $7100 32 20% 33 4.6 42% 12%
Dwight Howard C $7000 25 22% 31 4.5 32% 7%
Brook Lopez C $7000 32 26% 35 5.0 44% 16%
Draymond Green PF $7000 30 18% 30 4.3 33% 8%
Zach Randolph PF $7000 32 25% 34 4.8 30% 6%
Klay Thompson SG $6900 31 28% 30 4.4 34% 7%
Nerlens Noel PF $6900 34 19% 33 4.8 54% 22%
Mike Conley PG $6800 32 24% 32 4.8 29% 6%
CJ McCollum PG $6700 33 23% 29 4.3 38% 13%
Michael Carter-Williams PG $6700 34 26% 36 5.4 59% 28%
Brandon Knight PG $6600 34 27% 36 5.4 37% 11%
Giannis Antetokounmpo SF $6400 34 20% 30 4.7 37% 10%
Markieff Morris PF $6300 32 25% 32 5.1 45% 14%
Serge Ibaka PF $6200 32 16% 32 5.2 61% 28%
Andrew Wiggins SF $6200 36 23% 30 4.8 42% 18%
Terrence Jones PF $6100 26 18% 26 4.3 33% 8%
Jahlil Okafor C $6100 33 23% 27 4.5 41% 11%
Enes Kanter C $6100 25 22% 26 4.3 28% 7%
Karl-Anthony Towns C $6100 31 20% 29 4.8 40% 14%
Tim Duncan PF $6000 27 19% 31 5.2 60% 21%
Jarrett Jack PG $6000 33 23% 28 4.7 37% 12%
Ty Lawson PG $5700 33 19% 35 6.1 66% 38%
Trevor Ariza SF $5600 35 15% 30 5.3 43% 16%
Khris Middleton SG $5600 36 19% 29 5.2 61% 33%
Tyson Chandler C $5600 29 12% 27 4.8 42% 13%
Thaddeus Young PF $5500 33 21% 30 5.4 59% 24%
Robert Covington SF $5500 21 25% 20 3.7 4% 0%
Mason Plumlee C $5400 30 21% 31 5.7 63% 35%
Mo Williams PG $5300 34 24% 30 5.6 73% 51%
Robin Lopez C $5200 30 15% 26 4.9 35% 7%
JJ Redick SG $5200 29 18% 22 4.2 25% 5%
Andrew Bogut C $5000 24 12% 23 4.6 46% 11%
Ed Davis PF $5000 24 16% 25 4.9 40% 9%
Isaiah Canaan PG $5000 33 24% 29 5.9 66% 41%
Kevin Martin SG $5000 25 27% 22 4.4 30% 9%
Gorgui Dieng C $4900 23 14% 22 4.4 19% 3%
Harrison Barnes SF $4900 28 15% 20 4.1 21% 3%
Joe Johnson SF $4900 32 19% 26 5.2 50% 24%
Al-Farouq Aminu SF $4800 30 17% 27 5.6 76% 49%
Tony Parker PG $4800 26 22% 24 5.0 35% 12%
Jeff Green SF $4700 26 21% 22 4.6 21% 3%
Zach LaVine PG $4700 20 22% 18 3.7 12% 2%
JR Smith SG $4700 32 18% 27 5.7 57% 32%
Kristaps Porzingis PF $4600 25 20% 24 5.2 36% 8%
Josh Smith PF $4600 16 24% 18 3.9 6% 0%
Danny Green SG $4500 28 15% 23 5.1 44% 19%
Tristan Thompson PF $4500 24 12% 19 4.3 24% 5%
Meyers Leonard C $4500 30 17% 26 5.9 72% 45%
Andre Iguodala SF $4400 27 13% 21 4.8 26% 5%
Langston Galloway SG $4400 26 19% 22 5.1 33% 9%
Jamal Crawford SG $4400 18 25% 17 3.8 3% 0%
PJ Tucker SF $4300 25 13% 19 4.4 22% 4%
Tony Allen SF $4300 24 16% 20 4.6 27% 4%
Corey Brewer SF $4300 24 21% 20 4.7 40% 13%
Manu Ginobili SG $4200 21 21% 22 5.2 46% 15%
Timofey Mozgov C $4200 23 16% 20 4.8 55% 21%
Clint Capela PF $4200 18 17% 19 4.5 26% 3%
Steven Adams C $4200 26 12% 22 5.3 58% 29%
Courtney Lee SG $4200 30 15% 20 4.7 33% 9%
Patrick Beverley PG $4100 22 16% 18 4.4 16% 2%
Andrea Bargnani C $4000 20 24% 17 4.4 27% 8%
Jose Calderon PG $4000 20 16% 17 4.2 9% 1%
Kyle O'Quinn PF $3900 20 17% 20 5.2 44% 14%
Matt Barnes SF $3900 20 14% 15 3.8 4% 0%
Bojan Bogdanovic SF $3900 29 17% 19 4.8 49% 24%
Jerami Grant SF $3800 24 18% 18 4.8 45% 14%
Paul Pierce SF $3800 22 17% 21 5.4 34% 9%
Dion Waiters SG $3800 24 19% 20 5.3 48% 22%
Nemanja Bjelica PF $3700 22 15% 20 5.4 55% 16%
Jerian Grant PG $3700 26 16% 22 5.9 69% 35%
Greivis Vasquez PG $3700 18 19% 16 4.3 17% 2%
Hollis Thompson SG $3700 29 18% 20 5.4 65% 35%
Boris Diaw PF $3500 15 16% 12 3.4 6% 0%
Sasha Vujacic SG $3500 25 16% 20 5.8 69% 40%
Kevin Garnett PF $3500 18 16% 19 5.3 40% 10%
Alex Len C $3500 19 14% 17 4.7 24% 5%
Shabazz Muhammad SF $3500 20 24% 18 5.1 56% 30%
David West PF $3400 15 18% 14 4.2 14% 1%
TJ Warren SF $3400 26 18% 20 6.0 67% 39%
Brandan Wright PF $3400 16 14% 15 4.3 12% 1%
Festus Ezeli C $3400 20 17% 17 5.0 44% 11%
Nik Stauskas SG $3300 22 15% 14 4.3 40% 11%
Lance Stephenson SG $3300 18 20% 16 4.7 35% 12%
Shaun Livingston PG $3300 17 14% 13 3.8 4% 0%
Beno Udrih PG $3300 16 20% 13 4.1 9% 0%
Matthew Dellavedova PG $3200 21 12% 14 4.3 41% 14%
Patty Mills PG $3200 20 19% 18 5.5 77% 37%
Jerryd Bayless PG $3200 28 17% 22 6.9 85% 65%
Derrick Williams SF $3200 15 20% 12 3.7 11% 1%
JaKarr Sampson SF $3200 16 19% 12 3.8 9% 1%
Johnny O'Bryant PF $3100 22 17% 16 5.0 23% 3%
Maurice Harkless SF $3100 22 15% 16 5.2 50% 20%
DJ Augustin PG $3100 15 16% 13 4.2 14% 3%
Anthony Morrow SG $3000 20 14% 14 4.8 46% 20%
Kyle Anderson SF $3000 16 12% 11 3.8 5% 0%
Andre Roberson SG $3000 18 8% 12 4.1 7% 1%
Allen Crabbe SG $3000 26 13% 17 5.8 64% 30%
Lance Thomas SF $3000 18 17% 12 3.9 8% 1%
TJ McConnell PG $3000 22 18% 18 5.9 81% 47%
Austin Rivers SG $3000 16 17% 12 4.0 14% 2%
Richard Jefferson SF $3000 18 14% 11 3.8 11% 1%
 

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