JoshEngleman.com

November 17, 2015 at 7:30 am

DraftKings Daily Fantasy Basketball Projections – November 17, 2015

The following daily fantasy basketball projections are created using a method similar to Basketball Reference’s Simple Projection System. I have a quick walk-through of my process here. If you have any questions, please feel to ask here, via email (jengl867 AT gmail DOT com) or on Twitter (@JoshEngleman).

Quick note: when it comes to the Best Plays/Best Values, these are all of the guys that currently are in my shortlist for tonight. I’m literally listing everyone that I will potentially roster. If they aren’t listed in those two places, then I won’t be rostering them. Obviously this changes as more news comes about injuries, but this is truly how it looks right now for me.

If you are trying to up your DFS game, I highly recommend checking out Fantasy Cruncher. I couldn’t imagine building my lineup without it. The projections are excellent, the exporting capabilities are a life safer, and there are new features being added constantly. I would be shocked if it didn’t make you more profitable.
 
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If you are looking to sign-up at DraftKings, please do so through this link.
 
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Point Guards

Name Pos Salary MPG USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
Stephen Curry PG $10700 35 34% 49 4.5 37% 5%
John Wall PG $9000 36 27% 43 4.7 18% 2%
Kyle Lowry PG $8200 34 26% 38 4.6 42% 12%
Reggie Jackson PG $7700 33 31% 34 4.4 32% 10%
Ricky Rubio PG $7400 32 20% 32 4.3 19% 2%
Kemba Walker PG $6400 34 27% 34 5.4 53% 23%
Mo Williams PG $6200 33 24% 28 4.6 36% 13%
Emmanuel Mudiay PG $6100 31 26% 31 5.1 47% 11%
Michael Carter-Williams PG $6000 32 25% 34 5.6 62% 32%
Jarrett Jack PG $5700 33 24% 28 4.9 61% 29%
Ish Smith PG $5500 22 21% 20 3.7 14% 3%
Goran Dragic PG $5400 30 19% 26 4.8 35% 10%
Zach LaVine PG $5300 18 23% 15 2.9 1% 0%
Jrue Holiday PG $5000 23 24% 24 4.8 47% 15%
Jerryd Bayless PG $4700 30 17% 24 5.0 55% 24%
Dennis Schroder PG $4600 33 29% 32 7.0 93% 77%
Matthew Dellavedova PG $4200 26 13% 17 4.1 30% 8%
Cory Joseph PG $4100 29 16% 24 5.8 67% 41%
Jeremy Lin PG $4100 21 24% 19 4.6 44% 13%
Greivis Vasquez PG $3800 22 18% 19 5.0 40% 11%
Jameer Nelson PG $3700 21 20% 19 5.1 41% 12%
Jose Calderon PG $3600 26 15% 20 5.6 50% 24%
Jerian Grant PG $3600 20 17% 16 4.4 29% 3%
Shane Larkin PG $3100 16 14% 11 3.6 12% 1%
Shelvin Mack PG $3000 16 19% 13 4.5 34% 7%
Shaun Livingston PG $3000 21 15% 16 5.4 52% 20%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): Stephen Curry, Kyle Lowry, Kemba Walker, Emmanuel Mudiay, Michael Carter-Williams, Jarrett Jack
Best Value (<$5000): Jerryd Bayless, Dennis Schroder, Cory Joseph, Jose Calderon
 

Shooting Guards

Name Pos Salary MPG USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
DeMar DeRozan SG $7300 35 29% 34 4.7 28% 7%
Bradley Beal SG $6900 36 25% 33 4.8 46% 15%
Klay Thompson SG $6700 32 24% 29 4.3 32% 7%
Andrew Wiggins SG $6600 34 27% 29 4.4 27% 7%
Eric Gordon SG $6300 35 21% 30 4.7 44% 14%
Dwyane Wade SG $6200 29 34% 31 5.0 47% 15%
Khris Middleton SG $5800 34 19% 27 4.7 40% 14%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope SG $5200 37 19% 25 4.7 43% 17%
Will Barton SG $4700 29 20% 25 5.2 65% 36%
Jeremy Lamb SG $4600 28 20% 24 5.2 55% 28%
Kyle Korver SG $4400 33 14% 24 5.3 66% 39%
Kevin Martin SG $4400 26 25% 21 4.7 23% 7%
Arron Afflalo SG $4300 29 21% 22 5.1 30% 9%
Langston Galloway SG $4300 27 18% 22 5.0 41% 13%
JR Smith SG $4200 28 19% 23 5.5 59% 33%
Tyler Johnson SG $3600 23 14% 17 4.6 38% 17%
Gary Harris SG $3400 25 16% 16 4.7 33% 9%
Gary Neal SG $3300 18 24% 14 4.2 23% 3%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson SG $3300 17 13% 13 3.9 17% 2%
Justin Holiday SG $3000 24 18% 18 5.9 84% 59%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): Bradley Beal, Eric Gordon, Dwyane Wade, Khris Middleton, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Best Value (<$5000): Will Barton, Jeremy Lamb, JR Smith, Justin Holiday
 

Small Forwards

Name Pos Salary MPG USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
LeBron James SF $10100 35 34% 46 4.6 27% 4%
Carmelo Anthony SF $8500 35 32% 41 4.8 45% 9%
Giannis Antetokounmpo SF $7000 34 20% 30 4.2 19% 3%
Nicolas Batum SF $6900 36 20% 34 4.9 35% 9%
Marcus Morris SF $6500 37 19% 30 4.6 31% 9%
Danilo Gallinari SF $6200 34 21% 31 5.0 45% 21%
DeMarre Carroll SF $5600 35 17% 28 4.9 44% 17%
Otto Porter Jr SF $5400 34 14% 24 4.5 42% 17%
Harrison Barnes SF $5300 31 16% 23 4.4 36% 8%
Joe Johnson SF $5300 36 19% 29 5.4 56% 30%
Andre Iguodala SF $4800 29 14% 23 4.9 40% 10%
Luol Deng SF $4300 28 17% 21 4.9 48% 21%
Justise Winslow SF $4100 30 13% 19 4.6 44% 13%
Bojan Bogdanovic SF $4000 32 17% 21 5.2 67% 42%
Stanley Johnson SF $3600 23 20% 17 4.7 56% 22%
Thabo Sefolosha SF $3500 23 14% 16 4.6 57% 23%
Richard Jefferson SF $3400 24 14% 15 4.4 19% 4%
Luke Babbitt SF $3300 18 13% 12 3.8 8% 1%
Shabazz Muhammad SF $3100 18 22% 15 4.9 37% 15%
Lance Thomas SF $3000 18 16% 11 3.6 4% 0%
Tayshaun Prince SF $3000 20 13% 12 4.1 5% 1%
Alonzo Gee SF $3000 23 16% 16 5.3 52% 19%
Jared Dudley SF $3000 20 13% 13 4.4 32% 10%
Dante Cunningham SF $3000 20 10% 13 4.4 27% 6%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): Carmelo Anthony, Danilo Gallinari, Otto Porter, Joe Johnson
Best Value (<$5000): Justise Winslow, Bojan Bogdanovic, Stanley Johnson
 

Power Forwards

Name Pos Salary MPG USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
Anthony Davis PF $10800 36 29% 48 4.5 37% 9%
Greg Monroe PF $8100 33 23% 36 4.4 29% 4%
Kevin Love PF $8000 34 24% 41 5.1 45% 11%
Paul Millsap PF $7900 35 24% 39 4.9 53% 15%
Draymond Green PF $7400 34 18% 35 4.7 52% 19%
Chris Bosh PF $7300 32 26% 31 4.2 29% 5%
Kenneth Faried PF $6300 30 20% 31 4.9 47% 18%
Ryan Anderson PF $6100 30 23% 29 4.7 43% 13%
Thaddeus Young PF $5900 32 21% 28 4.8 52% 15%
Kristaps Porzingis PF $5900 25 23% 26 4.4 22% 2%
Marvin Williams PF $5500 31 13% 23 4.2 37% 8%
Tristan Thompson PF $4900 27 12% 22 4.4 23% 5%
Nemanja Bjelica PF $4700 29 13% 25 5.3 43% 12%
JJ Hickson PF $4300 22 20% 21 5.0 46% 13%
Luis Scola PF $4200 22 23% 22 5.2 41% 10%
Kris Humphries PF $3900 22 17% 20 5.2 66% 28%
Ersan Ilyasova PF $3800 22 17% 18 4.6 32% 10%
Cody Zeller PF $3500 25 15% 21 5.9 81% 51%
Nene Hilario PF $3300 19 21% 17 5.3 45% 13%
Patrick Patterson PF $3200 21 13% 17 5.2 41% 13%
Johnny O'Bryant PF $3100 18 16% 13 4.3 3% 0%
Anthony Tolliver PF $3000 21 14% 13 4.5 25% 7%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): Anthony Davis, Kevin Love, Paul Millsap, Draymond Green, Kenneth Faried, Ryan Anderson, Thaddeus Young
Best Value (<$5000): Nemanja Bjelica, Kris Humphries, Cody Zeller
 

Centers

Name Pos Salary MPG USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
Andre Drummond C $9900 35 23% 41 4.1 20% 3%
Hassan Whiteside C $8100 29 19% 34 4.2 27% 6%
Karl-Anthony Towns C $7500 30 23% 30 4.1 29% 5%
Al Horford C $7200 32 23% 34 4.7 46% 11%
Brook Lopez C $7100 35 26% 38 5.4 58% 27%
Al Jefferson C $6000 30 26% 34 5.7 66% 31%
Jonas Valanciunas C $5900 28 19% 28 4.7 28% 5%
Marcin Gortat C $5500 28 17% 26 4.8 44% 15%
Andrew Bogut C $4800 21 13% 21 4.3 31% 5%
Robin Lopez C $4400 25 15% 20 4.6 24% 3%
Festus Ezeli C $4400 18 18% 16 3.7 8% 0%
Timofey Mozgov C $4000 21 17% 18 4.5 27% 5%
Omer Asik C $3600 17 13% 15 4.2 12% 1%
Gorgui Dieng C $3400 18 14% 16 4.7 33% 9%
Bismack Biyombo C $3200 21 12% 17 5.4 45% 19%
Tiago Splitter C $3100 18 18% 16 5.1 39% 8%
Spencer Hawes C $3000 19 17% 17 5.7 54% 20%
Nikola Jokic C $3000 18 18% 16 5.4 59% 23%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): Andre Drummond, Al Horford, Brook Lopez, Al Jefferson, Marcin Gortat
Best Value (<$5000):
 

Utility

Name Pos Salary MPG USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
Anthony Davis PF $10800 36 29% 48 4.5 37% 9%
Stephen Curry PG $10700 35 34% 49 4.5 37% 5%
LeBron James SF $10100 35 34% 46 4.6 27% 4%
Andre Drummond C $9900 35 23% 41 4.1 20% 3%
John Wall PG $9000 36 27% 43 4.7 18% 2%
Carmelo Anthony SF $8500 35 32% 41 4.8 45% 9%
Kyle Lowry PG $8200 34 26% 38 4.6 42% 12%
Greg Monroe PF $8100 33 23% 36 4.4 29% 4%
Hassan Whiteside C $8100 29 19% 34 4.2 27% 6%
Kevin Love PF $8000 34 24% 41 5.1 45% 11%
Paul Millsap PF $7900 35 24% 39 4.9 53% 15%
Reggie Jackson PG $7700 33 31% 34 4.4 32% 10%
Karl-Anthony Towns C $7500 30 23% 30 4.1 29% 5%
Ricky Rubio PG $7400 32 20% 32 4.3 19% 2%
Draymond Green PF $7400 34 18% 35 4.7 52% 19%
DeMar DeRozan SG $7300 35 29% 34 4.7 28% 7%
Chris Bosh PF $7300 32 26% 31 4.2 29% 5%
Al Horford C $7200 32 23% 34 4.7 46% 11%
Brook Lopez C $7100 35 26% 38 5.4 58% 27%
Giannis Antetokounmpo SF $7000 34 20% 30 4.2 19% 3%
Bradley Beal SG $6900 36 25% 33 4.8 46% 15%
Nicolas Batum SF $6900 36 20% 34 4.9 35% 9%
Klay Thompson SG $6700 32 24% 29 4.3 32% 7%
Andrew Wiggins SG $6600 34 27% 29 4.4 27% 7%
Marcus Morris SF $6500 37 19% 30 4.6 31% 9%
Kemba Walker PG $6400 34 27% 34 5.4 53% 23%
Eric Gordon SG $6300 35 21% 30 4.7 44% 14%
Kenneth Faried PF $6300 30 20% 31 4.9 47% 18%
Mo Williams PG $6200 33 24% 28 4.6 36% 13%
Danilo Gallinari SF $6200 34 21% 31 5.0 45% 21%
Dwyane Wade SG $6200 29 34% 31 5.0 47% 15%
Ryan Anderson PF $6100 30 23% 29 4.7 43% 13%
Emmanuel Mudiay PG $6100 31 26% 31 5.1 47% 11%
Al Jefferson C $6000 30 26% 34 5.7 66% 31%
Michael Carter-Williams PG $6000 32 25% 34 5.6 62% 32%
Thaddeus Young PF $5900 32 21% 28 4.8 52% 15%
Jonas Valanciunas C $5900 28 19% 28 4.7 28% 5%
Kristaps Porzingis PF $5900 25 23% 26 4.4 22% 2%
Khris Middleton SG $5800 34 19% 27 4.7 40% 14%
Jarrett Jack PG $5700 33 24% 28 4.9 61% 29%
DeMarre Carroll SF $5600 35 17% 28 4.9 44% 17%
Marcin Gortat C $5500 28 17% 26 4.8 44% 15%
Ish Smith PG $5500 22 21% 20 3.7 14% 3%
Marvin Williams PF $5500 31 13% 23 4.2 37% 8%
Otto Porter Jr SF $5400 34 14% 24 4.5 42% 17%
Goran Dragic PG $5400 30 19% 26 4.8 35% 10%
Joe Johnson SF $5300 36 19% 29 5.4 56% 30%
Harrison Barnes SF $5300 31 16% 23 4.4 36% 8%
Zach LaVine PG $5300 18 23% 15 2.9 1% 0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope SG $5200 37 19% 25 4.7 43% 17%
Jrue Holiday PG $5000 23 24% 24 4.8 47% 15%
Tristan Thompson PF $4900 27 12% 22 4.4 23% 5%
Andre Iguodala SF $4800 29 14% 23 4.9 40% 10%
Andrew Bogut C $4800 21 13% 21 4.3 31% 5%
Will Barton SG $4700 29 20% 25 5.2 65% 36%
Nemanja Bjelica PF $4700 29 13% 25 5.3 43% 12%
Jerryd Bayless PG $4700 30 17% 24 5.0 55% 24%
Jeremy Lamb SG $4600 28 20% 24 5.2 55% 28%
Dennis Schroder PG $4600 33 29% 32 7.0 93% 77%
Festus Ezeli C $4400 18 18% 16 3.7 8% 0%
Robin Lopez C $4400 25 15% 20 4.6 24% 3%
Kyle Korver SG $4400 33 14% 24 5.3 66% 39%
Kevin Martin SG $4400 26 25% 21 4.7 23% 7%
Langston Galloway SG $4300 27 18% 22 5.0 41% 13%
JJ Hickson PF $4300 22 20% 21 5.0 46% 13%
Arron Afflalo SG $4300 29 21% 22 5.1 30% 9%
Luol Deng SF $4300 28 17% 21 4.9 48% 21%
Luis Scola PF $4200 22 23% 22 5.2 41% 10%
Matthew Dellavedova PG $4200 26 13% 17 4.1 30% 8%
JR Smith SG $4200 28 19% 23 5.5 59% 33%
Jeremy Lin PG $4100 21 24% 19 4.6 44% 13%
Cory Joseph PG $4100 29 16% 24 5.8 67% 41%
Justise Winslow SF $4100 30 13% 19 4.6 44% 13%
Timofey Mozgov C $4000 21 17% 18 4.5 27% 5%
Bojan Bogdanovic SF $4000 32 17% 21 5.2 67% 42%
Kris Humphries PF $3900 22 17% 20 5.2 66% 28%
Ersan Ilyasova PF $3800 22 17% 18 4.6 32% 10%
Greivis Vasquez PG $3800 22 18% 19 5.0 40% 11%
Jameer Nelson PG $3700 21 20% 19 5.1 41% 12%
Jose Calderon PG $3600 26 15% 20 5.6 50% 24%
Jerian Grant PG $3600 20 17% 16 4.4 29% 3%
Stanley Johnson SF $3600 23 20% 17 4.7 56% 22%
Omer Asik C $3600 17 13% 15 4.2 12% 1%
Tyler Johnson SG $3600 23 14% 17 4.6 38% 17%
Thabo Sefolosha SF $3500 23 14% 16 4.6 57% 23%
Cody Zeller PF $3500 25 15% 21 5.9 81% 51%
Gary Harris SG $3400 25 16% 16 4.7 33% 9%
Richard Jefferson SF $3400 24 14% 15 4.4 19% 4%
Gorgui Dieng C $3400 18 14% 16 4.7 33% 9%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson SG $3300 17 13% 13 3.9 17% 2%
Luke Babbitt SF $3300 18 13% 12 3.8 8% 1%
Nene Hilario PF $3300 19 21% 17 5.3 45% 13%
Gary Neal SG $3300 18 24% 14 4.2 23% 3%
Bismack Biyombo C $3200 21 12% 17 5.4 45% 19%
Patrick Patterson PF $3200 21 13% 17 5.2 41% 13%
Johnny O'Bryant PF $3100 18 16% 13 4.3 3% 0%
Shane Larkin PG $3100 16 14% 11 3.6 12% 1%
Tiago Splitter C $3100 18 18% 16 5.1 39% 8%
Shabazz Muhammad SF $3100 18 22% 15 4.9 37% 15%
Dante Cunningham SF $3000 20 10% 13 4.4 27% 6%
Shaun Livingston PG $3000 21 15% 16 5.4 52% 20%
Shelvin Mack PG $3000 16 19% 13 4.5 34% 7%
Alonzo Gee SF $3000 23 16% 16 5.3 52% 19%
Spencer Hawes C $3000 19 17% 17 5.7 54% 20%
Lance Thomas SF $3000 18 16% 11 3.6 4% 0%
Tayshaun Prince SF $3000 20 13% 12 4.1 5% 1%
Anthony Tolliver PF $3000 21 14% 13 4.5 25% 7%
Jared Dudley SF $3000 20 13% 13 4.4 32% 10%
Nikola Jokic C $3000 18 18% 16 5.4 59% 23%
Justin Holiday SG $3000 24 18% 18 5.9 84% 59%
 

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