JoshEngleman.com

November 14, 2015 at 10:29 am

DraftKings Daily Fantasy Basketball Projections – November 14, 2015

The following daily fantasy basketball projections are created using a method similar to Basketball Reference’s Simple Projection System. I have a quick walk-through of my process here. If you have any questions, please feel to ask here, via email (jengl867 AT gmail DOT com) or on Twitter (@JoshEngleman).

Quick note: when it comes to the Best Plays/Best Values, these are all of the guys that currently are in my shortlist for tonight. I’m literally listing everyone that I will potentially roster. If they aren’t listed in those two places, then I won’t be rostering them. Obviously this changes as more news comes about injuries, but this is truly how it looks right now for me.

If you are trying to up your DFS game, I highly recommend checking out Fantasy Cruncher. I couldn’t imagine building my lineup without it. The projections are excellent, the exporting capabilities are a life safer, and there are new features being added constantly. I would be shocked if it didn’t make you more profitable.
 
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If you are looking to sign-up at DraftKings, please do so through this link.
 
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Point Guards

Name Pos Salary MPG USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
Stephen Curry PG $10700 35 33% 47 4.4 48% 8%
John Wall PG $8900 36 27% 45 5.0 51% 13%
Reggie Jackson PG $7400 33 27% 33 4.5 40% 15%
Brandon Knight PG $7100 35 27% 36 5.1 50% 18%
Michael Carter-Williams PG $6300 31 25% 31 4.9 36% 11%
Mo Williams PG $6300 36 24% 31 4.9 41% 17%
Emmanuel Mudiay PG $6000 31 26% 32 5.3 46% 11%
Ty Lawson PG $5800 38 19% 37 6.5 66% 41%
Deron Williams PG $5700 30 22% 31 5.5 42% 16%
Elfrid Payton PG $5500 33 20% 33 5.9 62% 36%
Jarrett Jack PG $5500 31 24% 27 5.0 52% 23%
TJ McConnell PG $5400 30 15% 27 5.1 39% 11%
Jerryd Bayless PG $4800 25 17% 19 3.9 19% 3%
Matthew Dellavedova PG $4300 26 12% 17 3.8 26% 5%
Tony Parker PG $4200 28 21% 25 5.9 57% 31%
Isaiah Canaan PG $4000 21 24% 18 4.6 46% 18%
JJ Barea PG $3800 20 22% 19 4.9 33% 7%
Jameer Nelson PG $3800 21 20% 19 5.1 7% 1%
Devin Harris PG $3500 24 18% 21 5.9 63% 33%
Raymond Felton PG $3300 25 19% 22 6.6 79% 52%
Patty Mills PG $3200 21 19% 18 5.5 71% 33%
Shabazz Napier PG $3200 16 17% 13 4.1 11% 1%
Shane Larkin PG $3100 16 14% 12 3.7 20% 3%
CJ Watson PG $3100 16 20% 14 4.5 26% 5%
Shaun Livingston PG $3000 22 14% 17 5.5 65% 31%
Jason Terry PG $3000 18 13% 12 4.1 5% 0%
Pablo Prigioni PG $3000 23 11% 16 5.4 53% 23%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): Stephen Curry, John Wall, Brandon Knight, Ty Lawson, Elfrid Payton, Jarrett Jack
Best Value (<$5000):
 

Shooting Guards

Name Pos Salary MPG USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
James Harden SG $10100 39 33% 51 5.0 51% 18%
Eric Bledsoe SG $8100 35 26% 39 4.8 45% 14%
Bradley Beal SG $6900 36 25% 34 5.0 20% 4%
Klay Thompson SG $6700 34 28% 33 4.9 55% 20%
Marcus Thornton SG $5900 27 22% 23 3.9 26% 5%
Khris Middleton SG $5800 34 19% 26 4.4 37% 12%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope SG $5100 38 19% 27 5.2 53% 26%
Nik Stauskas SG $4800 32 16% 21 4.4 28% 7%
Wesley Matthews SG $4500 30 20% 25 5.5 58% 30%
Manu Ginobili SG $4300 22 21% 22 5.1 57% 21%
Will Barton SG $4300 25 20% 22 5.1 59% 30%
JR Smith SG $4200 28 18% 22 5.3 48% 23%
Danny Green SG $4100 29 15% 22 5.5 55% 29%
Jamal Crawford SG $3800 29 27% 26 6.8 81% 58%
Hollis Thompson SG $3600 26 17% 18 4.9 35% 11%
Gary Harris SG $3400 25 16% 17 4.9 49% 19%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson SG $3200 22 13% 17 5.3 43% 17%
Gary Neal SG $3200 18 24% 14 4.5 25% 5%
Austin Rivers SG $3200 31 18% 22 7.0 82% 64%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): James Harden, Eric Bledsoe, Klay Thompson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Best Value (<$5000): Wesley Matthews, Jamal Crawford, Austin Rivers
 

Small Forwards

Name Pos Salary MPG USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
LeBron James SF $9900 35 36% 47 4.7 48% 11%
Kawhi Leonard SF $8200 34 22% 33 4.1 34% 7%
Giannis Antetokounmpo SF $7300 34 19% 28 3.8 11% 1%
Evan Fournier SF $6300 38 22% 32 5.1 47% 19%
Marcus Morris SF $6300 38 19% 32 5.1 48% 20%
Danilo Gallinari SF $6200 35 21% 33 5.3 57% 31%
Tobias Harris SF $5900 33 25% 34 5.8 54% 24%
Joe Johnson SF $5500 36 19% 29 5.4 55% 29%
Trevor Ariza SF $5500 36 15% 29 5.3 54% 23%
Harrison Barnes SF $5300 32 16% 24 4.4 39% 9%
Otto Porter Jr SF $5200 34 14% 25 4.9 38% 15%
Andre Iguodala SF $4800 30 14% 24 5.0 47% 14%
Jerami Grant SF $4700 30 18% 23 4.9 25% 5%
Aaron Gordon SF $4000 20 19% 18 4.5 27% 3%
Bojan Bogdanovic SF $3800 28 17% 19 5.0 53% 28%
TJ Warren SF $3700 22 19% 17 4.6 31% 8%
Corey Brewer SF $3600 17 20% 13 3.7 12% 1%
Richard Jefferson SF $3400 24 14% 14 4.2 34% 10%
Paul Pierce SF $3400 21 18% 19 5.6 63% 29%
PJ Tucker SF $3400 24 13% 18 5.2 51% 22%
Stanley Johnson SF $3300 26 20% 20 6.1 82% 58%
Lance Stephenson SF $3300 26 21% 22 6.6 76% 56%
Jared Dudley SF $3000 20 13% 14 4.6 36% 12%
Wesley Johnson SF $3000 20 16% 14 4.6 15% 3%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): LeBron James, Marcus Morris, Danilo Gallinari, Tobias Harris, Joe Johnson
Best Value (<$5000): Bojan Bogdanovic, Stanley Johnson
 

Power Forwards

Name Pos Salary MPG USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
Blake Griffin PF $9300 36 30% 45 4.8 60% 18%
Greg Monroe PF $8200 33 23% 34 4.1 16% 1%
Kevin Love PF $7900 34 21% 37 4.7 54% 16%
Nerlens Noel PF $7000 32 20% 31 4.5 34% 9%
LaMarcus Aldridge PF $7000 32 29% 36 5.1 57% 20%
Draymond Green PF $7000 34 18% 34 4.9 53% 20%
Dirk Nowitzki PF $6500 28 25% 31 4.8 36% 4%
Kenneth Faried PF $6400 30 20% 32 5.0 42% 15%
Markieff Morris PF $5800 31 25% 31 5.3 51% 19%
Terrence Jones PF $5700 28 18% 27 4.7 32% 9%
Thaddeus Young PF $5700 32 21% 29 5.2 41% 11%
Tristan Thompson PF $5000 27 12% 21 4.2 26% 6%
Clint Capela PF $4800 23 17% 24 4.9 50% 14%
Dwight Powell PF $4700 22 19% 21 4.4 25% 5%
Ersan Ilyasova PF $3800 20 21% 19 4.9 27% 7%
Jabari Parker PF $3700 24 18% 19 5.1 57% 24%
Kris Humphries PF $3600 22 17% 21 5.9 63% 30%
Nene Hilario PF $3300 19 21% 18 5.6 30% 7%
Josh Smith PF $3300 16 25% 17 5.3 54% 21%
Channing Frye PF $3200 22 17% 18 5.8 41% 18%
Boris Diaw PF $3100 18 16% 14 4.4 44% 13%
Anthony Tolliver PF $3000 22 14% 15 4.9 34% 12%
Christian Wood PF $3000 18 20% 17 5.7 28% 6%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): Blake Griffin, Kevin Love, LaMarcus Aldridge, Draymond Green, Kenneth Faried, Markieff Morris, Thaddeus Young
Best Value (<$5000): Clint Capela, Jabari Parker
 

Centers

Name Pos Salary MPG USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
Andre Drummond C $9500 36 23% 44 4.6 36% 10%
DeAndre Jordan C $7500 33 13% 33 4.4 30% 6%
Nikola Vucevic C $7300 21 30% 26 3.5 2% 0%
Jahlil Okafor C $7100 32 30% 31 4.4 11% 0%
Brook Lopez C $6900 35 26% 39 5.7 55% 27%
Tim Duncan C $6000 28 19% 31 5.2 59% 21%
Zaza Pachulia C $5600 27 19% 26 4.6 45% 16%
Tyson Chandler C $5300 29 12% 26 5.0 54% 22%
Marcin Gortat C $5300 28 17% 28 5.2 56% 25%
Andrew Bogut C $4600 21 13% 21 4.5 29% 4%
Festus Ezeli C $4600 20 17% 18 3.9 18% 1%
Joffrey Lauvergne C $4200 22 18% 21 5.1 44% 13%
Dewayne Dedmon C $4200 16 15% 15 3.5 1% 0%
Timofey Mozgov C $4000 21 16% 17 4.3 24% 4%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): Andre Drummond, Brook Lopez, Tim Duncan, Tyson Chandler
Best Value (<$5000):
 

Utility

Name Pos Salary MPG USG% DK DK/$1K 5X% 6X%
Stephen Curry PG $10700 35 33% 47 4.4 48% 8%
James Harden SG $10100 39 33% 51 5.0 51% 18%
LeBron James SF $9900 35 36% 47 4.7 48% 11%
Andre Drummond C $9500 36 23% 44 4.6 36% 10%
Blake Griffin PF $9300 36 30% 45 4.8 60% 18%
John Wall PG $8900 36 27% 45 5.0 51% 13%
Kawhi Leonard SF $8200 34 22% 33 4.1 34% 7%
Greg Monroe PF $8200 33 23% 34 4.1 16% 1%
Eric Bledsoe SG $8100 35 26% 39 4.8 45% 14%
Kevin Love PF $7900 34 21% 37 4.7 54% 16%
DeAndre Jordan C $7500 33 13% 33 4.4 30% 6%
Reggie Jackson PG $7400 33 27% 33 4.5 40% 15%
Nikola Vucevic C $7300 21 30% 26 3.5 2% 0%
Giannis Antetokounmpo SF $7300 34 19% 28 3.8 11% 1%
Jahlil Okafor C $7100 32 30% 31 4.4 11% 0%
Brandon Knight PG $7100 35 27% 36 5.1 50% 18%
Draymond Green PF $7000 34 18% 34 4.9 53% 20%
Nerlens Noel PF $7000 32 20% 31 4.5 34% 9%
LaMarcus Aldridge PF $7000 32 29% 36 5.1 57% 20%
Brook Lopez C $6900 35 26% 39 5.7 55% 27%
Bradley Beal SG $6900 36 25% 34 5.0 20% 4%
Klay Thompson SG $6700 34 28% 33 4.9 55% 20%
Dirk Nowitzki PF $6500 28 25% 31 4.8 36% 4%
Kenneth Faried PF $6400 30 20% 32 5.0 42% 15%
Marcus Morris SF $6300 38 19% 32 5.1 48% 20%
Mo Williams PG $6300 36 24% 31 4.9 41% 17%
Michael Carter-Williams PG $6300 31 25% 31 4.9 36% 11%
Evan Fournier SF $6300 38 22% 32 5.1 47% 19%
Danilo Gallinari SF $6200 35 21% 33 5.3 57% 31%
Emmanuel Mudiay PG $6000 31 26% 32 5.3 46% 11%
Tim Duncan C $6000 28 19% 31 5.2 59% 21%
Tobias Harris SF $5900 33 25% 34 5.8 54% 24%
Marcus Thornton SG $5900 27 22% 23 3.9 26% 5%
Ty Lawson PG $5800 38 19% 37 6.5 66% 41%
Markieff Morris PF $5800 31 25% 31 5.3 51% 19%
Khris Middleton SG $5800 34 19% 26 4.4 37% 12%
Deron Williams PG $5700 30 22% 31 5.5 42% 16%
Thaddeus Young PF $5700 32 21% 29 5.2 41% 11%
Terrence Jones PF $5700 28 18% 27 4.7 32% 9%
Zaza Pachulia C $5600 27 19% 26 4.6 45% 16%
Elfrid Payton PG $5500 33 20% 33 5.9 62% 36%
Trevor Ariza SF $5500 36 15% 29 5.3 54% 23%
Jarrett Jack PG $5500 31 24% 27 5.0 52% 23%
Joe Johnson SF $5500 36 19% 29 5.4 55% 29%
TJ McConnell PG $5400 30 15% 27 5.1 39% 11%
Harrison Barnes SF $5300 32 16% 24 4.4 39% 9%
Tyson Chandler C $5300 29 12% 26 5.0 54% 22%
Marcin Gortat C $5300 28 17% 28 5.2 56% 25%
Otto Porter Jr SF $5200 34 14% 25 4.9 38% 15%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope SG $5100 38 19% 27 5.2 53% 26%
Tristan Thompson PF $5000 27 12% 21 4.2 26% 6%
Nik Stauskas SG $4800 32 16% 21 4.4 28% 7%
Jerryd Bayless PG $4800 25 17% 19 3.9 19% 3%
Andre Iguodala SF $4800 30 14% 24 5.0 47% 14%
Clint Capela PF $4800 23 17% 24 4.9 50% 14%
Dwight Powell PF $4700 22 19% 21 4.4 25% 5%
Jerami Grant SF $4700 30 18% 23 4.9 25% 5%
Andrew Bogut C $4600 21 13% 21 4.5 29% 4%
Festus Ezeli C $4600 20 17% 18 3.9 18% 1%
Wesley Matthews SG $4500 30 20% 25 5.5 58% 30%
Matthew Dellavedova PG $4300 26 12% 17 3.8 26% 5%
Manu Ginobili SG $4300 22 21% 22 5.1 57% 21%
Will Barton SG $4300 25 20% 22 5.1 59% 30%
Tony Parker PG $4200 28 21% 25 5.9 57% 31%
Joffrey Lauvergne C $4200 22 18% 21 5.1 44% 13%
Dewayne Dedmon C $4200 16 15% 15 3.5 1% 0%
JR Smith SG $4200 28 18% 22 5.3 48% 23%
Danny Green SG $4100 29 15% 22 5.5 55% 29%
Isaiah Canaan PG $4000 21 24% 18 4.6 46% 18%
Aaron Gordon SF $4000 20 19% 18 4.5 27% 3%
Timofey Mozgov C $4000 21 16% 17 4.3 24% 4%
JJ Barea PG $3800 20 22% 19 4.9 33% 7%
Bojan Bogdanovic SF $3800 28 17% 19 5.0 53% 28%
Jameer Nelson PG $3800 21 20% 19 5.1 7% 1%
Ersan Ilyasova PF $3800 20 21% 19 4.9 27% 7%
Jamal Crawford SG $3800 29 27% 26 6.8 81% 58%
TJ Warren SF $3700 22 19% 17 4.6 31% 8%
Jabari Parker PF $3700 24 18% 19 5.1 57% 24%
Corey Brewer SF $3600 17 20% 13 3.7 12% 1%
Hollis Thompson SG $3600 26 17% 18 4.9 35% 11%
Kris Humphries PF $3600 22 17% 21 5.9 63% 30%
Devin Harris PG $3500 24 18% 21 5.9 63% 33%
Paul Pierce SF $3400 21 18% 19 5.6 63% 29%
Gary Harris SG $3400 25 16% 17 4.9 49% 19%
Richard Jefferson SF $3400 24 14% 14 4.2 34% 10%
PJ Tucker SF $3400 24 13% 18 5.2 51% 22%
Raymond Felton PG $3300 25 19% 22 6.6 79% 52%
Stanley Johnson SF $3300 26 20% 20 6.1 82% 58%
Josh Smith PF $3300 16 25% 17 5.3 54% 21%
Nene Hilario PF $3300 19 21% 18 5.6 30% 7%
Lance Stephenson SF $3300 26 21% 22 6.6 76% 56%
Patty Mills PG $3200 21 19% 18 5.5 71% 33%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson SG $3200 22 13% 17 5.3 43% 17%
Shabazz Napier PG $3200 16 17% 13 4.1 11% 1%
Gary Neal SG $3200 18 24% 14 4.5 25% 5%
Channing Frye PF $3200 22 17% 18 5.8 41% 18%
Austin Rivers SG $3200 31 18% 22 7.0 82% 64%
Boris Diaw PF $3100 18 16% 14 4.4 44% 13%
Shane Larkin PG $3100 16 14% 12 3.7 20% 3%
CJ Watson PG $3100 16 20% 14 4.5 26% 5%
Anthony Tolliver PF $3000 22 14% 15 4.9 34% 12%
Wesley Johnson SF $3000 20 16% 14 4.6 15% 3%
Jared Dudley SF $3000 20 13% 14 4.6 36% 12%
Jason Terry PG $3000 18 13% 12 4.1 5% 0%
Shaun Livingston PG $3000 22 14% 17 5.5 65% 31%
Pablo Prigioni PG $3000 23 11% 16 5.4 53% 23%
Christian Wood PF $3000 18 20% 17 5.7 28% 6%
 

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