DraftKings Daily Fantasy Basketball Projections – February 5, 2015

The following daily fantasy basketball projections are created using a method similar to Basketball Reference’s Simple Projection System. I have a quick walkthrough of my process here. If you have any questions, please feel to ask here, via email (jengl867 AT gmail DOT com) or on Twitter (@JoshEngleman).

Quick note: when it comes to the Best Plays/Best Values, these are all of the guys that currently are in my shortlist for tonight. I’m literally listing everyone that I will potentially roster. If they aren’t listed in those two places, then I won’t be rostering them. Obviously this changes as more news comes about injuries, but this is truly how it looks right now for me.

If you are trying to up your DFS game, I highly recommend checking out Fantasy Cruncher. It really is an amazing tool. It provides a great blueprint, plus it helps keep you organized.
 
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If you are looking to sign-up at DraftKings, please do so through this link.
 
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Point Guards

Name Pos Salary MPG DK DK/$1k 5X% 6X%
Chris Paul PG $9200 37.8 42.6 4.6 36.4% 9.9%
John Wall PG $8900 36.4 37.9 4.3 22.6% 3.9%
Damian Lillard PG $8700 38.2 39.0 4.5 32.9% 9.7%
Kyrie Irving PG $8500 39.0 39.1 4.6 37.4% 13.0%
Darren Collison PG $6500 36.8 31.1 4.8 42.6% 14.8%
Goran Dragic PG $6100 35.6 33.4 5.5 62.2% 36.5%
Isaiah Thomas PG $5400 23.9 23.0 4.3 28.2% 8.8%
Brian Roberts PG $4500 33.9 26.8 6.0 67.5% 49.1%
Devin Harris PG $3900 24.5 20.2 5.2 53.7% 34.4%
J.J. Barea PG $3400 28.1 24.4 7.2 81.0% 68.4%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): Chris Paul, John Wall, Damian Lillard, Darren Collison, Goran Dragic, Isaiah Thomas
Avoid:
Best Value (<$5000): Brian Roberts, Jose Barea
 

Shooting Guards

Name Pos Salary MPG DK DK/$1k 5X% 6X%
Eric Bledsoe SG $8000 36.7 36.5 4.6 37.0% 13.7%
Monta Ellis SG $7700 35.8 33.2 4.3 26.9% 6.7%
Wesley Matthews SG $6000 34.4 27.0 4.5 35.7% 13.7%
Bradley Beal SG $6000 37.8 30.2 5.0 51.1% 23.6%
Jamal Crawford SG $5000 39.0 31.7 6.3 75.9% 57.1%
J.R. Smith SG $4700 32.4 26.6 5.7 62.4% 43.4%
Lance Stephenson SG $4300 25.0 20.5 4.8 42.3% 14.9%
Gerald Henderson SG $4000 31.9 24.9 6.2 74.2% 54.6%
Ben McLemore SG $3900 36.5 22.3 5.7 65.3% 44.2%
Iman Shumpert SG $3100 23.0 16.2 5.2 54.7% 35.2%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): Eric Bledsoe, Monta Ellis, Bradley Beal, Wesley Matthews, Jamal Crawford
Avoid:
Best Value (<$5000): Gerald Henderson
 

Small Forwards

Name Pos Salary MPG DK DK/$1k 5X% 6X%
LeBron James SF $10500 36.3 44.5 4.2 21.6% 3.5%
Rudy Gay SF $7500 34.5 33.0 4.4 29.3% 7.3%
Chandler Parsons SF $5700 35.1 28.3 5.0 48.9% 25.6%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist SF $5500 30.4 25.2 4.6 38.4% 16.1%
Nicolas Batum SF $5000 35.3 30.9 6.2 73.6% 53.8%
Paul Pierce SF $4600 25.5 22.7 4.9 48.1% 24.7%
P.J. Tucker SF $4200 31.7 22.9 5.4 59.9% 37.9%
Matt Barnes SF $4200 39.5 28.3 6.7 79.0% 63.3%
Al-Farouq Aminu SF $4000 25.8 20.6 5.1 52.6% 34.3%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): LeBron James, Rudy Gay, Chandler Parsons, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
Avoid:
Best Value (<$5000): Matt Barnes, Al-Farouq Aminu
 

Power Forwards

Name Pos Salary MPG DK DK/$1k 5X% 6X%
Blake Griffin PF $9400 36.5 39.9 4.2 23.0% 4.3%
LaMarcus Aldridge PF $9400 37.3 42.3 4.5 33.3% 9.8%
Kevin Love PF $8400 35.8 40.2 4.8 43.7% 18.6%
Dirk Nowitzki PF $6200 30.2 30.5 4.9 47.6% 19.9%
Markieff Morris PF $5900 31.8 29.5 5.0 50.0% 24.4%
Cody Zeller PF $5300 30.9 26.5 5.0 50.1% 27.9%
Tristan Thompson PF $5000 26.7 21.7 4.3 32.4% 12.7%
Nene Hilario PF $4700 28.2 25.0 5.3 58.0% 33.8%
Kris Humphries PF $4600 25.5 22.3 4.9 46.5% 25.0%
Marcus Morris PF $3200 20.4 16.3 5.1 52.5% 29.6%
Carl Landry PF $3000 21.0 17.4 5.8 62.6% 46.9%
Jason Thompson PF $3000 23.4 17.8 5.9 66.8% 48.6%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): Blake Griffin, Kevin Love
Avoid:
Best Value (<$5000):
 

Centers

Name Pos Salary MPG DK DK/$1k 5X% 6X%
DeMarcus Cousins C $10600 38.5 49.0 4.6 36.2% 9.8%
DeAndre Jordan C $7800 35.2 31.4 4.0 22.1% 5.9%
Al Jefferson C $7600 32.4 36.1 4.7 41.4% 14.1%
Tyson Chandler C $6400 31.2 27.1 4.2 28.2% 9.2%
Timofey Mozgov C $5200 21.3 17.8 3.4 7.2% 0.9%
Marcin Gortat C $5000 28.7 25.0 5.0 50.0% 24.2%
Robin Lopez C $4400 26.0 23.0 5.2 55.3% 32.1%
Alex Len C $3200 22.4 19.4 6.1 67.2% 51.0%

 
Best Plays (>=$5000): DeMarcus Cousins, DeAndre Jordan, Al Jefferson, Tyson Chandler
Avoid: Timofey Mozgov
Best Value (<$5000):
 

Utility

Name Pos Salary MPG DK DK/$1k 5X% 6X%
DeMarcus Cousins C $10600 38.5 49.0 4.6 36.2% 9.8%
LeBron James SF $10500 36.3 44.5 4.2 21.6% 3.5%
Blake Griffin PF $9400 36.5 39.9 4.2 23.0% 4.3%
LaMarcus Aldridge PF $9400 37.3 42.3 4.5 33.3% 9.8%
Chris Paul PG $9200 37.8 42.6 4.6 36.4% 9.9%
John Wall PG $8900 36.4 37.9 4.3 22.6% 3.9%
Damian Lillard PG $8700 38.2 39.0 4.5 32.9% 9.7%
Kyrie Irving PG $8500 39.0 39.1 4.6 37.4% 13.0%
Kevin Love PF $8400 35.8 40.2 4.8 43.7% 18.6%
Eric Bledsoe SG $8000 36.7 36.5 4.6 37.0% 13.7%
DeAndre Jordan C $7800 35.2 31.4 4.0 22.1% 5.9%
Monta Ellis SG $7700 35.8 33.2 4.3 26.9% 6.7%
Al Jefferson C $7600 32.4 36.1 4.7 41.4% 14.1%
Rudy Gay SF $7500 34.5 33.0 4.4 29.3% 7.3%
Darren Collison PG $6500 36.8 31.1 4.8 42.6% 14.8%
Tyson Chandler C $6400 31.2 27.1 4.2 28.2% 9.2%
Dirk Nowitzki PF $6200 30.2 30.5 4.9 47.6% 19.9%
Goran Dragic PG $6100 35.6 33.4 5.5 62.2% 36.5%
Bradley Beal SG $6000 37.8 30.2 5.0 51.1% 23.6%
Wesley Matthews SG $6000 34.4 27.0 4.5 35.7% 13.7%
Markieff Morris PF $5900 31.8 29.5 5.0 50.0% 24.4%
Chandler Parsons SF $5700 35.1 28.3 5.0 48.9% 25.6%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist SF $5500 30.4 25.2 4.6 38.4% 16.1%
Isaiah Thomas PG $5400 23.9 23.0 4.3 28.2% 8.8%
Cody Zeller PF $5300 30.9 26.5 5.0 50.1% 27.9%
Timofey Mozgov C $5200 21.3 17.8 3.4 7.2% 0.9%
Marcin Gortat C $5000 28.7 25.0 5.0 50.0% 24.2%
Tristan Thompson PF $5000 26.7 21.7 4.3 32.4% 12.7%
Nicolas Batum SF $5000 35.3 30.9 6.2 73.6% 53.8%
Jamal Crawford SG $5000 39.0 31.7 6.3 75.9% 57.1%
J.R. Smith SG $4700 32.4 26.6 5.7 62.4% 43.4%
Nene Hilario PF $4700 28.2 25.0 5.3 58.0% 33.8%
Paul Pierce SF $4600 25.5 22.7 4.9 48.1% 24.7%
Kris Humphries PF $4600 25.5 22.3 4.9 46.5% 25.0%
Brian Roberts PG $4500 33.9 26.8 6.0 67.5% 49.1%
Robin Lopez C $4400 26.0 23.0 5.2 55.3% 32.1%
Lance Stephenson SG $4300 25.0 20.5 4.8 42.3% 14.9%
Matt Barnes SF $4200 39.5 28.3 6.7 79.0% 63.3%
P.J. Tucker SF $4200 31.7 22.9 5.4 59.9% 37.9%
Gerald Henderson SG $4000 31.9 24.9 6.2 74.2% 54.6%
Al-Farouq Aminu SF $4000 25.8 20.6 5.1 52.6% 34.3%
Devin Harris PG $3900 24.5 20.2 5.2 53.7% 34.4%
Ben McLemore SG $3900 36.5 22.3 5.7 65.3% 44.2%
J.J. Barea PG $3400 28.1 24.4 7.2 81.0% 68.4%
Alex Len C $3200 22.4 19.4 6.1 67.2% 51.0%
Marcus Morris PF $3200 20.4 16.3 5.1 52.5% 29.6%
Iman Shumpert SG $3100 23.0 16.2 5.2 54.7% 35.2%
Jason Thompson PF $3000 23.4 17.8 5.9 66.8% 48.6%
Carl Landry PF $3000 21.0 17.4 5.8 62.6% 46.9%
 

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